Table 4.
Risk factors | Bivariate analyses | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odds ratio (95% CI) | Odds ratio (95% CI) | Odds ratio (95% CI) | Odds ratio (95% CI) | Odds ratio (95% CI) | |
First grade background factors | |||||
Poverty | 1.38 (0.85–2.22), p = 0.192 | 1.19 (0.69–2.06), p = 0.528 | 1.08 (0.61–1.93), p = 0.785 | 1.09 (0.60–2.00), p = 0.778 | 1.12 (0.61–2.07), p = 0.717 |
Mother lone adult in home | 1.44 (0.89–2.32), p = 0.137 | 1.32 (0.77–2.28), p = 0.312 | 1.36 (0.74–2.48), p = 0.321 | 1.35 (0.73–2.52), p = 0.339 | 1.30 (0.69–2.45), p = 0.413 |
Aggressiveness | 1.50 (0.95–2.40), p = 0.085 | 0.97 (0.55–1.69), p = 0.901 | 0.90 (0.50–1.63), p = 0.735 | 0.81 (0.44–1.50), p = 0.506 | 0.77 (0.41–1.43), p = 0.404 |
Poor conduct | 1.61 (1.17–2.21), p = 0.003 | 1.62 (1.12–2.37), p = 0.012 | 1.56 (1.04–2.32), p = 0.030 | 1.43 (0.95–2.15), p = 0.083 | 1.41 (0.94–2.14), p = 0.100 |
Adolescent family, school, and mental health factors | |||||
Moves since birth | 1.09 (0.98–1.21), p = 0.121 | 1.03 (0.91–1.17) p = 0.651 | 1.03 (0.90–1.17), p = 0.692 | 1.04 (0.91–1.18), p = 0.590 | |
Lower school bonds | 1.12 (1.05–1.19), p = 0.001 | 1.10 (1.03–1.18), p = 0.008 | 1.07 (0.99–1.16), p = 0.055 | 1.07 (0.99–1.16), p = 0.066 | |
Lower family warmth | 1.00 (0.96–1.04), p = 0.943 | 1.00 (0.96–1.04), p = 0.935 | 1.00 (0.95–1.04), p = 0.949 | 0.99 (0.95–1.04), p = 0.801 | |
Angry mood | 1.03 (0.99–1.07), p = 0.152 | 1.00 (0.96–1.05), p = 0.926 | 0.99 (0.94–1.04), p = 0.634 | 1.00 (0.93–1.04), p = 0.599 | |
Depressed mood | 1.05 (1.01–1.10), p = 0.027 | 1.03 (0.98–1.09), p = 0.219 | 1.04 (0.99–1.10), p = 0.135 | 1.04 (0.99–1.10), p = 0.135 | |
Adolescent risk behaviors | |||||
Frequent alcohol, marijuana use | 1.12 (1.05–1.20), p = 0.001 | 1.06 (0.96–1.16), p = 0.251 | 1.06 (0.96–1.16), p = 0.257 | ||
Violence | 3.64 (1.51–8.76), p = 0.004 | 2.08 (0.64–6.80), p = 0.222 | 1.69 (0.51–5.62), p = 0.392 | ||
Teen parenting | 1.38 (0.77–2.48), p = 0.282 | 1. 15 (0.61–2.16), p = 0.657 | 1.18 (0.62–2.24), p = 0.607 | ||
Running away | 3.22 (1.80–5.75), p = <0.001 | 2.53 (1.32–4.84), p = 0.005 |
Imputed data (number of imputations = 40)