Table 1. Elicited priors for log odds ratios and corresponding 95% Credible Intervals for the odds ratios.
Outcome | OptimisticPrior | Conservative Prior | |
Potential Error 1 | Log OR (mean, var) | N(−0.30,0.35) | N(−0.30,0.63) |
OR [LCrI, UCrI] | 0.74 [0.59,0.95] | 0.74 [0.34,1.63] | |
Potential Error 2 | Log OR (mean, var) | N(−0.28,0.46) | N(−0.28,0.76) |
OR [LCrI, UCrI] | 0.76 [0.50,1.15] | 0.76 [0.24, 2.34] | |
Potential Error 3 | Log OR (mean, var) | N(−0.42,0.36) | N(−0.42,0.62) |
OR [LCrI, UCrI] | 0.66 [0.51,0.85] | 0.66 [0.31,1.39] |