Denmark Salmonella Accounts |
Microbial subtyping provides direct link between public health endpoint and animal |
Difficult to expand to other pathogens; requires distinctive subtypes across reservoirs |
5,6
|
High reporting of illnesses (social health care) |
Focus on animals ignores nonanimal sources |
|
National, temporal coverage for both illnesses and animal/product monitoring |
Focus on reservoirs, not food products at point of consumption |
|
UK outbreak data |
Large dataset: national, temporal coverage |
May not correlate with sporadic case data |
8
|
Results correlate with local epidemiologic findings |
Not all pathogens well represented |
|
|
Dependence on general practitioners |
|
US outbreak data |
National and temporal coverage |
May not correlate with sporadic case data |
11,12
|
Large common dataset |
Geographic and temporal inconsistencies (local reporting) and biases towards certain foods |
|
Straightforward, uses existing data |
Not all pathogens well represented |
|
Outbreaks and outbreak cases can be aggregated into food categories |
|
|
Case-control studies |
Population-based studies |
Survey format has recall bias and other limits |
17,20–24
|
Captures risk factors not included in most surveillance data (travel, food preparation questions) |
Long exposure windows (problems with common exposures) |
|
Can implicate risks missed by laboratory testing |
Durable immunity in population can impede associating exposures with illnesses |
|
|
No laboratory verification |
|
Microbial subtyping |
Subtyping of illnesses and foods can provide direct link between public health endpoint and source of infection |
For animal sourcing, subtypes must be distinctive across species (see Danish Salmonella Accounts) |
25–28,5,6
|
Can be used to identify specific foods (outbreak investigations) or animal reservoirs (source tracking by species) |
Utility may be limited to certain pathogens |
|
Many different techniques, growing fast |
Resource intensive; requires human surveillance, extensive monitoring of food and animals, plus laboratory testing, data storage, analysis |
|
Risk assessments |
Can estimate cases not captured by surveillance methods (not limited by underreporting or biases in epidemiologic methods) |
Predictive; cannot be verified |
29–33
|
Uses consumption and contamination data ignored by surveillance-based approaches |
Large uncertainties in dose-response models and exposure estimates |
|
|
Resource- and time-intensive (each pathogen-food combination requires its own exhaustive study) |
|
Food monitoring data |
Captures upstream contamination (avoids environmental and cross-contamination after purchase) |
Not usable for food attribution unless made compatible (through subtyping or other means) with public health data |
34–36
|
Expert elicitation/judgment |
Useful when data are sparse or conflicting |
Respondents can be similarly biased |
15,37–39
|
Formal methods increase utility |
Requires some level of consensus for reasonable error bounds |
|
|
Based on perception, not data |
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