A theoretical model for the role of HTRA1 in IVD degeneration. Based on our findings, we propose that HTRA1 accumulates in IVD tissue undergoing degeneration and stimulates MMP production by resident cells in a predominantly protease-dependent manner, via activation of the MEK pathway. Furthermore, we suggest that the stimulatory effects of HTRA1 on IVD cells are mediated indirectly through its ability to generate fibronectin fragments, although other routes of cellular activation cannot be ruled out. IDD, intervertebral disc degeneration.