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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Anesth Analg. 2012 Apr 27;115(1):88–94. doi: 10.1213/ANE.0b013e318257012b

Table 2.

Independent Predictors of Unplanned Intubation, American College of Surgeon National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, 2005–2007

Variable Adjusted Hazard Ratio 95% Confidence Interval
Age, (years)
16–29 0.80 0.60–1.06
40–49 1.27 1.05 – 1.54
50–59 1.66 1.39 – 1.99
60–69 2.15 1.81 – 2.57
70–79 2.67 2.26 – 3.21
≥80 3.30 2.76 – 3.94
General Anesthesia 2.12 1.77 – 2.55
Emergency status 1.64 1.52 – 1.76
Transfer status 1.43 1.31 – 1.55
Comorbidity score
1 1.13 1.05 – 1.22
2–3 1.36 1.25 – 1.47
4–5 1.83 1.62 – 2.06
≥6 1.74 1.56 – 1.95
ASA class
2 2.19 1.51 – 3.19
3 6.16 4.25 – 8.91
4–5 9.75 6.70– 14.17
Preoperative weight loss 1.63 1.48 – 1.80
Any sepsis 2.09 1.95 – 2.25
Any dyspnea 1.46 1.37 – 1.56
Cardiothoracic surgery 1.84 1.64 – 2.06
Vascular abdominal surgery 1.75 1.57 – 1.94
Total operative time, (minutes)
120 – 259 1.56 1.47 – 1.66
300 – 359 2.52 2.22 – 2.85
≥360 3.57 3.23 – 3.95