Table 2.
The associations of demographic variables and serum AFP value with the risk of developing HCC in HBV patients.
| Variables | Number (%) of patients (N=617) | Person-years of follow-up | Number (%) of HCC cases (N=61) | Incidence rate per 100,000 person-years | HR (95% CI) * | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (Year) | ||||||
| ≤39 | 233(40.88) | 1651 | 8 | 485 | Reference | |
| 40–49 | 194(34.04) | 1179 | 17 | 1442 | 1.45 (0.71–2.96) | 0.30 |
| 50–59 | 108(18.95) | 531 | 26 | 4896 | 6.28 (3.12–12.63) | <0.0001 |
| ≥60 | 35(6.14) | 148 | 3 | 2027 | 2.11 (0.85–11.40) | 0.09 |
| Sex | ||||||
| Female | 200(32.41) | 1160 | 9 | 776 | Reference | |
| Male | 417(67.59) | 2625 | 52 | 1981 | 1.90 (0.84–4.30) | 0.12 |
| Smoking status | ||||||
| Never | 412(66.77) | 2544 | 29 | 1140 | Reference | |
| Ever | 205(33.23) | 1241 | 32 | 2579 | 1.65 (0.81–3.34) | 0.17 |
| Drinking status | ||||||
| No | 376(60.94) | 2369 | 30 | 1266 | Reference | |
| Yes | 241(39.06) | 1416 | 31 | 2189 | 1.10 (0.56–2.16) | 0.78 |
| Cirrhosis | ||||||
| No | 390(63.21) | 2315 | 7 | 302 | Reference | |
| Yes | 227(36.79) | 1470 | 54 | 3673 | 8.02 (3.38–19.05) | <0.0001 |
| Family history of HBV | ||||||
| No | 305(49.31) | 1894 | 31 | 1637 | Reference | |
| Yes | 312(50.57) | 1891 | 30 | 1586 | 0.94 (0.52–1.69) | 0.83 |
| Family history of cirrhosis | ||||||
| No | 501(81.20) | 3106 | 45 | 1449 | Reference | |
| Yes | 116(18.80) | 679 | 16 | 2356 | 3.20 (1.08–9.43) | 0.04 |
| Family history of cancer | ||||||
| No | 407(65.96) | 2547 | 37 | 1453 | Reference | |
| Yes | 210(34.04) | 1238 | 24 | 1939 | 1.13 (0.65–1.99) | 0.67 |
| AFP | ||||||
| ≤median | 300(48.62) | 1872 | 15 | 801 | Reference | |
| >median | 317(51.38) | 1913 | 46 | 2405 | 2.73 (1.25–5.99) | 0.01 |
Adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, drinking status, cirrhosis, family history of HBV, family history of cirrhosis, family history of cancer, and AFP, where appropriate.