Table 2.

Number of EAC Cases in the US by Year

Annual EAC Incidence (Number of Cases)
Year	Scenario 1	Scenario 2	SEER Data	From Obesity	Total Rise
1975	806	806	746	0	−60
1980	825	857	1,138	32	314
1985	855	929	1,958	75	1,103
1990	903	1,038	3,507	135	2,604
1995	979	1,197	4,334	218	3,355
2000	1,056	1,378	6,332	322	5,276
2005	1,151	1,608	7,173	457	6,022
Total	30,555	35,767	111,223	5,212	80,668

Numbers of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) cases from Scenarios 1 and 2 and estimated from SEER data are presented by sampled year and cumulatively in the final row. The fifth column, “From Obesity,” is the difference between Scenario 2 and Scenario 1, which is the number of cases attributed to the rise in obesity. The final column, entitled “Total Rise,” is the difference between SEER and Scenario 1.