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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2011 Sep 19;20(11):2450–2456. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-11-0547

Table 3.

Obesity Effects, Sensitivity Analysis

Odds Ratio Cumulative Cases 2005 Cases

Percent of SEER Cases
2.8 6.5% 7.6%
5 17% 15%
10 26% 24%
20 35% 33%
50 57% 53%
77 100% 95%
87 106% 100%
100 115% 108%

The results of the sensitivity analysis are presented where the odds ratio (OR) for obesity’s impact on esophageal adenocarcinoma, which was 2.8 in the base case analysis, is varied and the threshold for the OR where Scenario 2 reproduces SEER data is determined. Column 2 is cumulative cases and Column 3 is incidence in 2005.