Table 5. Total deaths delayed or averted per year by nutritional changes in the dietary scenarios compared with baseline diets.
Deaths averted or delayed | 95% Credible intervals | |
---|---|---|
Scenario 1 | ||
Fruits and vegetables | 27 866 | 21 254–33 878 |
Fibre | 7470 | 3275–11 423 |
Fats | 2847 | 2351–3653 |
Salt | 658 | 539–776 |
All dietary components | 36 910 | 30 192–43 592 |
Scenario 2 | ||
Fruits and vegetables | 694 | 526–871 |
Fibre | 0 | 0–0 |
Fats | 983 | 763–1312 |
Salt | 330 | 271–389 |
All dietary components | 1999 | 1739–2389 |
Scenario 3 | ||
Fruits and vegetables | 6408 | 4882–7998 |
Fibre | 2383 | 1066–3750 |
Fats | 289 | 241–367 |
Salt | 330 | 271–389 |
All dietary components | 9297 | 7288–11 301 |
Note: estimates for each dietary component are the change that would result if only the individual component changed in the counterfactual scenario. The ‘all dietary components' rows are less than the sums of the individual dietary components as double counting has been accounted for in the modelling process.