Table 7. Summary of the mean expected loss and gain.
GAM | GLM | RF | ECHAM5 | HADCM3 | IPSL-CM4 | Mean | ||||||||
Code | loss | gain | loss | gain | loss | gain | loss | gain | loss | gain | loss | gain | loss | gain |
Alburnus | 0 | 160 | 0 | 159 | 9 | 125 | 0 | 142 | 0 | 161 | 0 | 160 | 0 | 158 |
Alburnus* | 0 | 140 | 0 | 161 | 13 | 53 | 0 | 122 | 0 | 141 | 0 | 157 | 0 | 145 |
Cottobio | 67 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 46 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 0 |
Cottobio* | 13 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 109 | 1 | 45 | 3 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 29 |
Lotalota | 60 | 0 | 77 | 0 | 65 | 9 | 80 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 71 | 0 |
Lotalota* | 16 | 23 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 132 | 42 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 8 |
Sanderca | 0 | 166 | 0 | 157 | 0 | 169 | 0 | 147 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 166 | 0 | 166 |
Sanderca* | 0 | 137 | 0 | 159 | 0 | 165 | 0 | 138 | 7 | 168 | 0 | 163 | 0 | 162 |
Siluanis | 0 | 261 | 0 | 269 | 2 | 257 | 0 | 208 | 0 | 283 | 0 | 275 | 0 | 269 |
Siluanis* | 0 | 227 | 0 | 277 | 2 | 220 | 0 | 178 | 11 | 276 | 0 | 267 | 0 | 262 |
Table values indicate mean expected loss and gain (percentage of suitable cells) as compared to the consensus model for the 20th century climate. Asterisk in the species code (*) indicate that the predictor data set was extended by Tmax and PSeason. Model specific values (GAM, GLM and RF) are based on averaging across all future projections of the three climate models. Climate model specific values (ECHAM5, HADCM3 and IPSL-CM4) are based on averaging across all corresponding projections of the three SDMs. “Mean” indicates loss and gain resulting from comparison between the consensus future projection merging all SDMs and all climate change models and the consensus model for the 20th century climate.