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. 2012 May 9;55(3):449–460. doi: 10.1093/cid/cis461

Table 4.

Cumulative Rates of Progression

Triple ARV From Delivery
Triple ARV From ARV Cessation
AZT/sdNVP
Endpoint Time (weeks) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI)
Among All Women
Death or WHO stage 4 0 0/384 0.0 0/384 0.0 0/405 0.0
26 0/381 0.0 0/368 0.0 3/381 0.8 (.2–2.3)
52 2/359 0.6 (.1–2.2) 3/270 0.9 (.3–2.7) 8/332 2.1 (1.1–4.2)
78 3/278 0.8 (.3–2.6) 4/68 2.3 (.6–8.3) 10/273 2.8 (1.5–5.1)
104 4/69 2.1 (.6–7.3) NA NA 11/69 3.5 (1.8–6.4)
Log-rank P value (triple ARV vs AZT/sdNVP) stratified for intent to BF and study site .07 .24
Death, WHO stage 4, or CD4+ count of <200/mm3 0 0/384 0.0 0/382 0.0 0/405 0.0
26 8/378 2.1 (1.0–4.1) 11/358 2.9 (1.6–5.2) 20/374 5.1 (3.3–7.8)
52 17/355 4.5 (2.8–7.2) 25/265 7.0 (4.8–10.2) 37/330 9.7 (7.1–13.1)
78 29/275 8.0 (5.6–11.4) 36/66 15.0 (10.3–21.6) 51/265 13.8 (10.7–17.8)
104 40/66 15.7 (11.1–21.9) NA NA 71/65 28.3 (22.0–35.8)
Log-rank P value (triple-ARV vs AZT/sdNVP) stratified for intent to BF and study site .001 .49
Triple-ARV
AZT/sdNVP
Endpoint Time (weeks) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI) Log-Rank P Value Stratified for Intent to BF and Study Site
According to CD4+ Cell Count at Entry (origin: cessation of ARVs)
CD4+ count <350 cells/mm3
Death, WHO stage 4, or CD4+ count of <200 cells/mm3 0 0/214 0.0 0/224 0.0
26 11/197 5.2 (2.9–9.2) 18/203 8.3 (5.3–12.8)
52 23/145 11.3 (7.6–16.5) 35/169 16.6 (12.2–22.4)
78 32/25 24.0 (15.8–35.5) 47/131 23.0 (17.8–29.5) .24
CD4+ count of ≥350 cells/mm3
Death, WHO stage 4, or CD4+ count of <200 cells/mm3 0 0/168 0.0 0/181 0.0
26 0/161 0.0 2/171 1.1 (.3–4.4)
52 2/120 1.4 (.4–5.5) 2/161 1.1 (.3–4.4)
78 4/41 4.9 (1.6–14.5) 4/134 2.5 (.9–6.4) .47
Triple ARV
AZT/sdNVP
Endpoint Time (weeks) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI) Events/At Riska (cumulative) Rate (95% CI) Log-Rank P Value Stratified for Intent to BF and Study Site
Among Women with CD4+ Count of ≥350 cells/mm3 at Entry (endpoint: 2010 criteria for ART; origin: cessation of ARVs)
Death, WHO stage 3 or 4, or CD4+ count of <350 cells/mm3 0 0/156 0.0 0/173 0.0
26 9/144 5.9 (3.1–11.0) 21/148 12.5 (8.3–18.5)
52 26/95 17.8 (12.5–25.1) 34/132 20.5 (15.1–27.5)
78 36/29 31.8 (23. 2–42.6) 45/100 28.1 (21.8–35.8) .95

Abbreviations: ART, antiretroviral therapy; ARV, antiretroviral; AZT/sdNVP, zidovudine until delivery with single-dose nevirapine without postpartum prophylaxis; BF, breastfeed; CI, confidence interval; NA, not applicable; Triple ARV, zidovudine, lamivudine, and lopinavir/ritonavir during pregnancy and breastfeeding; WHO, World Health Organization.

a Cumulative number of events up to the given time / number of women still at risk of progression at the given time.