Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Med Care. 2012 Aug;50(8):643–653. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0b013e3182549c74

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2

Predicted vs. Actual PCP-level Average Per Capita PCALPractice Spending

A. HCC-Predicted versus Actual PCAL

B. Age-sex Predicted versus Actual PCAL

Notes: PCP: primary care provider; PCAL: primary care activity level; HCC: hierarchical condition categories. For each of 436 PCPs, plotted values are person -year averages for those assigned to the practice. On the horizontal axis are 2007 PCAL predictions, converted to a relative cost by dividing by the sample mean. Vertical -axis values are defined analogously for actual PCAL outcome values (called in the text), also normalized to 1. Figure 2A uses predictions for Y from the HCC model; Figure 2B uses predictions from an age-sex model.