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. 2012 Jun 26;107(2):266–274. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2012.267

Table 2. Prognostic factors for overall mortality.

  Unadjusted a Cox regression, full model b Cox regression, variable selection c
  HR (95% CI) P d HR (95% CI) P d HR (95% CI) P d
C-stage
  C-stage 0 Reference <0.001 Reference 0.001 Reference <0.001
  C-stage I 2.80 (1.95–4.02)   1.91 (1.28–2.85)   1.98 (1.36–2.90)  
Age (years) 1.08 (1.06–1.10) <0.001 1.07 (1.05–1.09) 0.000 1.07 (1.05–1.09) <0.001
             
Gender
  Male Reference 0.577 Reference 0.612  
  Female 0.91 (0.63–1.32)   0.94 (0.62–1.42)      
BMI (kg m−2) 0.93 (0.89–0.97) 0.001 0.94 (0.89–0.99) 0.010 0.94 (0.89–0.98) 0.006
             
ASA stage
  II Reference <0.001 Reference 0.235  
  III/IV 2.58 (1.79–3.73)   1.22 (0.77–1.95)      
             
Cardiovascular disease
  No Reference <0.001 Reference 0.641  
  Yes 2.27 (1.50–3.42)   1.04 (0.61–1.77)      
             
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
  No Reference 0.003 Reference 0.553  
  Yes 2.21 (1.36–3.60)   1.03 (0.60–1.78)      
             
Chronic kidney disease
  No Reference 0.002 Reference 0.106 Reference 0.049
  Yes 4.04 (1.90–8.62)   2.01 (0.85–4.74)   2.28 (1.03–5.04)  
             
AJCC stage
  I Reference <0.001 Reference 0.006 Reference 0.004
  II 1.80 (1.11–2.91)   1.36 (0.81–2.28)   1.41 (0.85–2.32)  
  III 2.66 (1.70–4.17)   2.12 (1.29–3.49)   2.08 (1.31–3.31)  
             
Distance to anal verge
  >10 cm Reference 0.001 Reference 0.064 Reference 0.039
  >5–10 cm 1.41 (0.85–2.33)   1.52 (0.88–2.63)   1.48 (0.88–2.49)  
  0–5 cm 2.38 (1.45–3.92)   1.97 (1.04–3.76)   1.93 (1.11–3.37)  
             
Neoadjuvant therapy
  No Reference 0.199 Reference 0.671  
  Yes 0.79 (0.54–1.15)   0.98 (0.62–1.56)      
             
Operation
  Anterior resection Reference <0.001 Reference 0.117 Reference 0.095
  Abd. perineal excision 2.57 (1.64–4.04)   1.54 (0.89–2.65)   1.55 (0.92–2.62)  
 Operation time (hours) 1.02 (0.90–1.17) 0.637 1.02 (0.88–1.19) 0.612  
             
Resection
  R0 Reference 0.027 Reference 0.023 Reference 0.005
  R1 5.11 (1.51–17.3)   5.48 (1.50–20.0)   5.65 (1.59–20.1)  
             
Adjuvant therapy
  No Reference 0.037 Reference 0.615  
  Yes 0.67 (0.45–0.99)   0.96 (0.60–1.54)      

Abbreviations: AJCC=American Joint Committee on Cancer; ASA=American Society of Anesthesiologists.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals resulting from:

a

Univariate, Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for overall mortality;

b

Independent, full model Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for overall mortality;

c

Independent, backward variable selection Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for overall mortality (confirmed by forward variable selection with identical results);

d

P-values from likelihood ratio tests.