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. 2012 Jun 26;107(2):266–274. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2012.267

Table 3. Prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

  Unadjusted a
Cox regression, full model b
Cox regression, variable selection c
  HR (95% CI) P d HR (95% CI) P d HR (95% CI) P d
C-stage
  C-stage 0 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
  C-stage I 2.63 (1.89–3.65)   2.17 (1.51–3.10)   2.08 (1.48–2.94)  
Age (years) 1.05 (1.03–1.07) <0.001 1.04 (1.03–1.06) <0.001 1.04 (1.03–1.06) <0.001
             
Gender
  Male Reference 0.44 Reference 0.435  
  Female 0.88 (0.63–1.23)   0.89 (0.62–1.27)      
BMI (kg m−2) 0.95 (0.91–0.99) 0.008 0.96 (0.92–1.00) 0.037 0.96 (0.92–1.00) 0.048
             
ASA stage
  II Reference 0.002 Reference 0.54  
  III/IV 1.74 (1.23–2.45)   0.92 (0.59–1.41)      
             
Cardiovascular disease
  No Reference 0.006 Reference 0.605  
  Yes 1.75 (1.20–2.56)   1.07 (0.67–1.72)      
             
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
  No Reference 0.002 Reference 0.191  
  Yes 2.12 (1.36–3.32)   1.29 (0.78–2.12)      
             
Chronic kidney disease
  No Reference 0.02 Reference 0.137  
  Yes 2.68 (1.27–5.67)   1.83 (0.80–4.19)      
             
AJCC stage
  I Reference   Reference 0 Reference <0.001
  II 1.49 (0.97–2.28)   1.18 (0.75–1.86)   1.26 (0.81–1.96)  
  III 2.56 (1.74–3.79)   2.15 (1.40–3.31)   2.20 (1.48–3.28)  
             
Distance to anal verge
  >10 cm Reference 0 Reference 0.047 Reference 0.001
  >5–10 cm 1.28 (0.82–2.00)   1.86 (1.07–3.23)   1.39 (0.88–2.19)  
  0–5 cm 2.22 (1.43–3.46)   1.29 (0.80–2.08)   2.19 (1.39–3.45)  
             
Neoadjuvant therapy
  No Reference 0.746 Reference 0.258  
  Yes 0.98 (0.71–1.36)   1.22 (0.83–1.80)      
             
Operation
  Anterior resection Reference 0.003 Reference 0.45  
  Abd. perineal excision 2.00 (1.29–3.11)   1.16 (0.69–1.94)      
 Operation time (hours) 1.05 (0.92–1.19) 0.437 1.03 (0.90–1.18) 0.551  
             
Adjuvant therapy
  No Reference 0.589 Reference 0.587  
  Yes 0.93 (0.66–1.30)   1.07 (0.71–1.60)      

Abbreviations: AJCC=American Joint Committee on Cancer; ASA=American Society of Anesthesiologists.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals resulting from:

a

Univariate, Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for disease-free survival;

b

Independent, full model Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for disease-free survival;

c

Independent, backward variable selection Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for disease-free survival (confirmed by forward variable selection with identical results);

d

P-values from likelihood ratio tests.