Table 4. Impact of sensitivity analysis of the temperature, soil moisture and cold stress parameters on validation data.

Parameter Description	Parameter Values	No. of herbarium points in each suitability category
		Unsuitable	Marginal	Suitable	Highly Suitable
DV0 (Limiting low temperature)	4	9	8	16	185
	5	9	8	16	185
	6	9	9	18	182
	7	9	11	17	181
	8	10	11	19	178
	9	12	13	16	177
	10	14	15	15	174
	11	22	22	21	153
	12	44	14	18	142
	13	67	14	14	123
	14	84	13	16	105
	15	96	20	14	88
DV1 (Lower optimal temperature)	18	14	5	18	181
	19	14	6	18	180
	20	14	6	18	180
	21	14	8	17	179
	22	14	10	17	177
	23	14	11	18	175
	24	14	15	14	175
	25	14	15	15	174
	26	14	16	18	170
	27	14	17	24	163
	28	14	17	30	157
	29	15	16	37	150
DV2 (Upper optimal temperature)	26	16	22	32	148
	27	16	19	29	154
	28	16	16	23	163
	29	15	15	20	168
	30	14	15	15	174
	31	13	14	15	176
	32	12	13	12	181
DV3 (Limiting high temperature)	31	17	20	26	155
	32	16	15	19	168
	33	14	15	15	174
	34	12	14	16	176
	35	12	13	15	178
	36	12	13	13	180
	37	12	12	13	181
	38	12	11	14	181
SM0 (Limiting low soil moisture)	0.08	13	15	16	174
	0.09	13	15	16	174
	0.1	14	15	15	174
	0.11	14	16	16	172
	0.12	14	16	17	171
SM1 (Lower optimal soil moisture)	0.48	14	14	16	174
	0.49	14	15	15	174
	0.5	14	15	15	174
	0.51	14	16	16	172
	0.52	14	16	16	172
SM2 (Upper optimal soil moisture)	1.18	14	15	15	174
	1.19	14	15	15	174
	1.2	14	15	15	174
	1.21	14	15	15	174
	1.22	14	15	15	174
SM3 (Limiting high soil moisture)	1.58	14	16	15	173
	1.59	14	15	15	174
	1.6	14	15	15	174
	1.61	14	15	15	174
	1.62	13	14	17	174
TTCS (Cold stress temperature threshold)	4	14	12	15	177
	5	14	15	15	174
	6	18	16	23	161
DTCS (Minimum degree-day cold stress threshold)	14	12	13	18	175
	15	14	15	15	174
	16	14	16	20	168

Values in bold represent the baseline model parameter.