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. 2012 Jul 19;7(7):e40014. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0040014

Table 9. Granger causality test.

Dataset lag(days) Direction Inline graphic Inline graphic Avg reduction in RSS
Q (100 tickers) 1 Q Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (100 tickers) 1 T Inline graphic Q Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (100 tickers) 1 U Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (100 tickers) 1 T Inline graphic U Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (100 tickers) 2 Q Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (100 tickers) 2 T Inline graphic Q Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (100 tickers) 2 U Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (100 tickers) 2 T Inline graphic U Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (87 tickers) 1 Q Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (87 tickers) 1 T Inline graphic Q Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (87 tickers) 1 U Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (87 tickers) 1 T Inline graphic U Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (87 tickers) 2 Q Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Q (87 tickers) 2 T Inline graphic Q Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (87 tickers) 2 U Inline graphic T Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
U (87 tickers) 2 T Inline graphic U Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic

Adding information about yesterday’s query volume reduces the average prediction error (in an autoregressive model) for today’s trade volume by about Inline graphic, and for half of the companies the reduction is statistically significant at Inline graphic.