Table 1.
Study | Target of prediction | Topic of prediction | Paradigm | Resulta |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bender and Hastorf (1950) | Class members | Personality characteristics | AS | r = 0.55, r = 0.71 |
Clement and Krueger (2000) | Majority of people | Trait adjectives | AS | r = 0.24 |
Dawes and Mulford (1996) | Students | CPI | AS | r = 0.59 |
de la Haye (2000) | Students | Personal statements | FC | r = 0.30, r = 0.34 |
Hoch (1987) | Average consumer, peer, spouse | Attitude statements | FC/AS | r = 0.26, r = 0.47, r = 0.52 |
Krueger and Clement (1994) | General population | MMPI | FC | r = 0.35 |
Krueger and Zeiger (1993) | General population (men & women) | MMPI | FC | r = 0.45, r = 0.47 |
Monin and Norton (2003) | Students | Questionnaire | AS | r = 0.28, r = 0.34 |
Pollmann et al. (2008) | Similar person (average student, average Dutch person) | Scenarios | AS | r = 0.74, r = 0.94 |
Note. AS = Assumed similarity method, FC = False consensus method, CPI = California Psychological Inventory, MMPI = Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory.
Correlations between own judgment and the prediction for others. For multiple results, projection was measured on various occasions, or for different target people.