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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Jul 23.
Published in final edited form as: BJU Int. 2010 Nov 23;108(3):378–385. doi: 10.1111/j.1464-410X.2010.09878.x

TABLE 2.

Cox proportional hazards models for predicting overall survival (OS) and metastasis-free survival (MFS) after PSA recurrence following radical prostatectomy

Variables OS
MFS
Univariate model
Multivariate model
Univariate model
Multivariate model
HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P
Age at surgery (years) (continuous) 1.10 (1.05–1.15) <0.001 1.09 (1.03–1.14) 0.001 1.02 (0.97–1.07) 0.493
Race
 White 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
 Non-white 0.66 (0.35–1.23) 0.189 0.88 (0.45–1.70) 0.704 0.71 (0.31–1.61) 0.409
Preoperative PSA (ng/mL) (continuous) 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.770 0.99 (0.95–1.02) 0.450
Pathological Gleason sum
 ≤7 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
 8–10 2.56 (1.43–4.58) 0.002 1.42 (0.73–2.77) 0.297 2.17 (1.09–4.30) 0.027 1.76 (0.85–3.67) 0.129
Pathological stage
 T2 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
 T3–T4 1.75 (1.02–2.98) 0.042 1.62 (0.93–2.83) 0.088 1.94 (0.49–1.78) 0.841
Surgical margin status
 Negative 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
 Positive 1.23 (0.75–2.02) 0.420 1.15 (0.61–2.15) 0.674
Time to PSA recurrence
 >3 years 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
 ≤3 years 1.93 (1.14–3.27) 0.015 1.50 (0.85–2.63) 0.158 1.89 (0.99–3.60) 0.052 1.28 (0.66–2.50) 0.470
PSA doubling time
 ≥9.0 months 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
 3.0–8.9 months 2.18 (1.22–3.89) 0.008 1.95 (1.04–3.66) 0.039 6.69 (3.33–13.45) <0.001 6.16 (3.00–12.64) <0.001
 <3.0 months 17.90 (6.71–47.75) <0.001 7.77 (2.65–22.76) <0.001 33.6 (11.1–101.8) <0.001 27.4 (8.70–86.38) <0.001

HR, hazard ratio. Bold indicates statistically significant P-value.