Table 3.

Adjusted ORs from the Final Multiple Logistic Regression Models for 1-, 5-, and 10- Year Mortality in the Development Cohort (N = 4434)

Characteristics	1 year mortality	5 year mortality	10 year mortality
	Adjusted OR (95% CI)
C-statistic	0.74	0.74	0.76
Age
≥70–<75	Reference	Reference	Reference
≥75–<80	0.97 (0.62,1.53)	1.68 (1.39,2.04)	2.17 (1.84,2.56)
≥80–<85	1.49 (0.92,2.40)	2.65 (2.08,3.39)	3.83 (3.04,4.82)
≥85	1.99 (1.25,3.17)	5.23 (3.89,7.05)	10.58 (7.40,15.12)
Gender
Female	Reference	Reference	Reference
Male	1.56 (1.05,2.32)	1.87 (1.60,2.19)	2.01 (1.73,2.34)
Marital status
Married	-	-	Reference
Unmarried	-	-	1.32 (1.12,1.55)
Health status
Excellent	-	Reference	Reference
Very Good	-	1.19 (0.90,1.57)	1.21 (0.97,1.51)
Good	-	1.55 (1.21,2.00)	1.60 (1.29,1.99)
Fair	-	1.85 (1.40,2.44)	1.85 (1.44,2.39)
Poor	-	3.40 (2.31,5.00)	3.35 (2.30,4.87)
Diabetes
No	-	Reference	Reference
Yes	-	1.67 (1.31,2.13)	1.69 (1.36,2.10)
Cancer
No	-	Reference	-
Yes	-	1.40 (1.13,1.73)	-
Chronic bronchitis or emphysema
No	-	-	Reference
Yes	-	-	1.48 (1.13,1.95)
Coronary artery disease
No	Reference	Reference	Reference
Yes	1.75 (1.16,2.65)	1.22 (1.01,1.47)	1.31 (1.12,1.53)
Other heart disease
No	-	Reference	Reference
Yes	-	1.72 (1.27,2.33)	1.38 (1.06,1.80)
Stroke
No	-	-	Reference
Yes	-	-	1.68 (1.23,2.31)
IADL stage
No limitations	Reference	Reference	Reference
Mild limitations	2.79 (1.63,4.76)	1.42 (1.14,1.77)	1.42 (1.17,1.72)
Moderate limitations	3.92 (2.30,6.67)	2.23 (1.61,3.11)	2.16 (1.61,2.90)
Severe limitations	5.59 (3.31,9.44)	2.58 (1.88,3.53)	2.88 (1.90,4.37)
Complete limitations	13.55 (7.23,25.41)	8.18 (4.48,14.94)	3.88 (1.55,9.72)

“-” indicates not applicable as a predictor