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. 2012 Jul 24;345:e4692. doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4692

Table 2.

 Descriptive and demographic characteristics of samples investigating predictive validity of risk assessment tools designed to predict violent, sexual, and criminal outcomes. Data are no (%) of samples unless stated otherwise. SD=standard deviation

Category and group Violent (n=30) Sexual (n=20) Criminal (n=23)
Source of study
Journal article 21 (70) 18 (90) 18 (78)
Conference 4 (13) 0 0
Dissertation 4 (13) 2 (10) 3 (13)
Government report 1 (3) 0 2 (8)
Tool information
Type of tool
 Actuarial 9 (30) 16 (80) 23 (100)
 Structured clinical judgment 21 (70) 4 (20) 0
Tool used
 HCR-20 9 (30)
 LSI-R 11 (48)
 PCL-R 12 (52)
 SARA 3 (10)
 SAVRY 9 (30)
 SORAG 3 (15)
 Static-99 13 (65)
 SVR-20 4 (20)
 VRAG 9 (30)
Demographic (mean (SD) in sample)
Male participants (no) 137 (98) 519 (713) 409 (590)
White participants (no) 92 (49) 201 (185) 213 (165)
Age (years) 28.3 (10.0) 39.7 (4.0) 35.2 (4.6)
Study design
Sample size (mean (SD)) 148 (94) 510 (681) 439 (720)
Assessment setting
 Correctional 9 (30) 12 (60) 21 (91)
 Forensic psychiatric 11 (37) 6 (30) 0
 General psychiatric 5 (17) 0 0
 Mixed 3 (10) 1 (5) 2 (9)
 Unstated or unclear 2 (7) 1 (5) 0 (0)
Location of outcome
 Community 21 (70) 18 (90) 22 (96)
 Intra-institutional 6 (20) 0 1 (4)
 Mixed 3 (10) 2 (10) 0
Temporal design
 Prospective 12 (40) 5 (25) 14 (61)
 Retrospective 17 (57) 15 (75) 9 (39)
 Not stated or unclear 1 (3) 0 0
Length of follow-up (months; mean (SD)) 39.4 (29.6) 82.4 (50.4) 33.9 (24.8)
Source of outcome
 Criminal register 16 (53) 17 (85) 17 (74)
 Institutional records 6 (20) 0 1 (4)
 Collateral report 2 (7) 0 0
 Mixed 6 (20) 3 (15) 5 (22)