Optimal model parameters for an STN neuron during MV – and MV+ periods of a PD patient executing predicted-cued trials before movement (left) and after movement (right). Top row (movement direction modulation): optimal extrinsic factors eαd for d = 1, 2, 3, 4 (U,R,D,L) are plotted in black lines from left to right and corresponding 95% confidence intervals are shaded around each black line in a unique color for each direction. Middle row (short-term history modulation): optimal short-term history factors eβi for i = 1, 2,…, 10 are plotted in blue from right to left and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals are shaded in green. Bottom row (long-term history modulation) optimal long-term history factors eγj for j = 1, 2,…, 14 are plotted in blue from right to left and corresponding 95% confidence intervals are shaded in green. Note the change in time scale for bottom row.