Table 3.
a: Working Status by Experience Year, Women (standard errors in brackets)
| Mean work | (1) Work (=1) | Mean weeks worked | (2) Weeks worked last year | Mean hours worked | (3) Hours worked last year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HS Grad UR: | ||||||
| 1 year after | 0.583 | -0.0246*** [0.0087] | 32.2 | -0.895** [0.354] | 1029 | -56.94*** [15.53] |
| 2 years after | 0.652 | -0.0136** [0.0069] | 34.0 | -0.621** [0.304] | 1129 | -42.87*** [13.33] |
| 3 years after | 0.674 | -0.0097*[0.0057] | 35.0 | -0.470* [0.265] | 1189 | -34.23*** [11.63] |
| 4 years after | 0.686 | -0.0082 [0.0052] | 36.1 | -0.342 [0.244] | 1295 | -20.42* [10.76] |
| 5 years after | 0.753 | 0.0010 [0.0047] | 38.1 | -0.095 [0.233] | 1455 | -0.56 [10.39] |
| 6 years after | 0.768 | 0.0025 [0.0047] | 39.5 | 0.085 [0.230] | 1530 | 7.91 [10.49] |
| 7 years after | 0.781 | 0.0032 [0.0049] | 39.3 | 0.033 [0.235] | 1526 | 4.56 [10.87] |
| 8 years after | 0.781 | 0.0024 [0.0051] | 39.4 | 0.023 [0.243] | 1538 | 3.83 [11.38] |
| 9 years after | 0.767 | -0.0009 [0.0056] | 39.0 | -0.072 [0.252] | 1537 | 1.46 [11.94] |
| 10 years after | 0.764 | -0.0020 [0.0058] | 39.2 | -0.063 [0.262] | 1543 | 0.26 [12.51] |
| 11 years after | 0.765 | -0.0027 [0.0059] | 29.1 | -0.102 [0.271] | 1536 | -2.17 [13.04] |
| 12 years after | 0.749 | -0.0059 [0.0061] | 39.1 | -0.129 [0.277] | 1530 | -5.30 [13.40] |
| 13 years after | 0.747 | -0.0077 [0.0062] | 39.0 | -0.187 [0.283] | 1513 | -10.25 [13.78] |
| 14 years after | 0.756 | -0.0082 [0.0061] | 39.3 | -0.194 [0.286] | 1524 | -11.63 [14.03] |
| 15 years after | 0.765 | -0.0086 [0.0064] | 39.5 | -0.207 [0.288] | 1518 | -14.49 [14.21] |
| Wald test 1-4 years zero effect (p-value) | 0.003 | 0.039 | < 0.001 | |||
| (Pseudo) R-squared | 0.031 | 0.037 | 0.045 | |||
| Observations | 34,660 | 50,657 | 50,157 | |||
| Unique women | 2,211 | 2,209 | 2,209 | |||
|
| ||||||
|
b: Working Status by Experience Year, Men (standard errors in brackets)
| ||||||
| Mean work | (1) Work (=1) | Mean weeks worked | (2) Weeks worked last year | Mean hours worked | (3) Hours worked last year | |
|
| ||||||
| HS Grad UR: | ||||||
| 1 year after | 0.594 | 0.0102 [0.0092] | 32.9 | 0.123 [0.340] | 1199 | -17.70 [17.17] |
| 2 years after | 0.640 | 0.0058 [0.0075] | 34.6 | 0.029 [0.303] | 1318 | -21.61 [15.46] |
| 3 years after | 0.667 | -0.0005 [0.0065] | 36.0 | -0.105 [0.268] | 1402 | -28.72** [13.96] |
| 4 years after | 0.695 | -0.0053 [0.0060] | 37.6 | -0.159 [0.244] | 1528 | -28.83** [12.93] |
| 5 years after | 0.767 | -0.0024 [0.0055] | 40.4 | -0.051 [0.230] | 1730 | -18.39 [12.42] |
| 6 years after | 0.816 | -0.0016 [0.0052] | 42.3 | -0.044 [0.219] | 1846 | -19.07 [12.15] |
| 7 years after | 0.846 | -0.0023 [0.0049] | 44.1 | -0.043 [0.2111] | 1962 | -18.49 [12.09] |
| 8 years after | 0.865 | -0.0035 [0.0048] | 45.0 | -0.132 [0.209] | 2020 | -24.16** [12.21] |
| 9 years after | 0.881 | -0.0037 [0.0046] | 45.8 | -0.217 [0.207] | 2080 | -27.85** [12.31] |
| 10 years after | 0.892 | -0.0039 [0.0045] | 46.0 | -0.334 [0.207] | 2118 | -31.64** [12.51] |
| 11 years after | 0.893 | -0.0049 [0.0046] | 46.3 | -0.425** [0.206] | 2155 | -34.10*** [12.68] |
| 12 years after | 0.905 | -0.0042 [0.0044] | 46.6 | -0.509** [0.207] | 2190 | -36.41*** [12.87] |
| 13 years after | 0.904 | -0.0051 [0.0047] | 46.7 | -0.574*** [0.209] | 2182 | -42.41*** [13.09] |
| 14 years after | 0.931 | -0.0006 [0.0037] | 47.3 | -0.562*** [0.208] | 2224 | -40.33*** [13.16] |
| 15 years after | 0.913 | -0.0030 [0.0047] | 47.3 | -0.620*** [0.207] | 2233 | -41.86*** [13.16] |
| Wald test 1-4 years zero effect (p-value) | 0.100 | 0.171 | 0.012 | |||
| Wald test 1-4 years, men same as women | 0.010 | 0.017 | 0.003 | |||
| (Pseudo) R-squared | 0.098 | 0.108 | 0.142 | |||
| Observations | 30,673 | 44,381 | 43,905 | |||
| Unique women | 2,006 | 2,004 | 2,004 | |||
significant at 10%
significant at 5%
significant at 1%
The estimates report the marginal effect of a one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate in the year of high school graduation on the likelihood of being employed x years after high school graduation. Column 1 shows average marginal effects (averaged across sample observations) from a probit; columns 2 and 3 show OLS coefficients. All regressions also include AFQT z-score, a quadratic in years since high school graduation, dummies for years of observation, and family background controls (mother's education, father's education, race dummies, a dummy for whether the mother was working when respondent was 14, a dummy for whether the respondent was born in the South, and a dummy for whether the respondent grew up speaking a foreign language). Column 1 also includes month of interview dummies. Observations are person-years, and the number of unique individuals refers to respondents who have at least one observation in the sample. Standard errors are clustered at the individual level. See text for discussion on inference.
significant at 10%
significant at 5%
significant at 1%
The estimates report the marginal effect of a one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate in the year of high school graduation on the likelihood of being employed x years after high school graduation. Column 1 shows average marginal effects (averaged across sample observations) from a probit; columns 2 and 3 show OLS coefficients. All regressions also include AFQT z-score, a quadratic in years since high school graduation, dummies for years of observation, and family background controls. Column 1 also includes month of interview dummies. Observations are person-years, and the number of unique individuals refers to respondents who have at least one observation in the sample. Standard errors are clustered at the individual level. See text for discussion on inference.