Table 1.
Predicted E2 trajectory group membership probabilities (95% confidence intervals)
| n (%) | Slow decline | Flat | Rise/slow decline | Rise/steep decline | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMI (kg/m2) | |||||
| Normal (<25) | 561 (42.6) | 0.39 (0.30, 0.47) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.12) | 0.12 (0.08, 0.19) | 0.46 (0.38, 0.53) |
| Overweight (25–29.9) | 333 (25.3) | 0.28 (0.20, 0.37) | 0.16 (0.08, 0.29) | 0.29 (0.19, 0.40) | 0.27 (0.18, 0.37) |
| Obese (≥30) | 422 (32.1) | 0.09 (0.04, 0.19) | 0.68 (0.55, 0.77) | 0.04 (0.01, 0.14) | 0.19 (0.12, 0.26) |
| Race/ethnicity | |||||
| Caucasian | 568 (43.2) | 0.22 (0.15, 0.31) | 0.13 (0.06, 0.25) | 0.13 (0.07, 0.23) | 0.51 (0.42, 0.59) |
| African-Americans | 401 (30.5) | 0.25 (0.14, 0.37) | 0.31 (0.17, 0.50) | 0.14 (0.07, 0.27) | 0.30 (0.20, 0.40) |
| Chinese | 133 (10.1) | 0.50 (0.24, 0.65) | 0.11 (0.01, 0.53) | 0.17 (0.06, 0.32) | 0.22 (0.10, 0.35) |
| Japanese | 142 (10.8) | 0.43 (0.25, 0.57) | 0.09 (0.01, 0.36) | 0.12 (0.04, 0.27) | 0.36 (0.22, 0.50) |
| Hispanic | 72 (5.5) | 0.44 (0.25, 0.62) | 0.06 (0.02, 0.20) | 0.13 (0.04, 0.32) | 0.36 (0.17, 0.57) |
| BMI by race/ethnicity (kg/m2) | |||||
| Caucasian | |||||
| Normal (<25) | 247 (44.2) | 0.29 (0.21, 0.38) | 0.02 (0.00, 0.10) | 0.11 (0.06, 0.19) | 0.58 (0.48, 0.65) |
| Overweight (25–29.9) | 143 (25.6) | 0.22 (0.14, 0.32) | 0.14 (0.06, 0.26) | 0.28 (0.17, 0.40) | 0.36 (0.25, 0.49) |
| Obese (≥30) | 169 (30.2) | 0.07 (0.03, 0.17) | 0.61 (0.48, 0.71) | 0.04 (0.01, 0.15) | 0.27 (0.19, 0.36) |
| African-Americans | |||||
| Normal (<25) | 80 (19.4) | 0.38 (0.24, 0.52) | 0.07 (0.01, 0.25) | 0.14 (0.07, 0.26) | 0.41 (0.28, 0.53) |
| Overweight (25–29.9) | 124 (30.0) | 0.23 (0.14, 0.33) | 0.30 (0.18, 0.45) | 0.27 (0.16, 0.41) | 0.20 (0.12, 0.30) |
| Obese (≥0) | 209 (50.6) | 0.05 (0.02, 0.11) | 0.84 (0.72, 0.90) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.11) | 0.09 (0.05, 0.15) |
| Chinese | |||||
| Normal (<25) | 105 (79.6) | 0.61 (0.34, 0.79) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.24) | 0.13 (0.02, 0.31) | 0.24 (0.11, 0.44) |
| Overweight (25–29.9) | 21 (15.9) | 0.44 (0.21, 0.61) | 0.11 (0.01, 0.54) | 0.31 (0.11, 0.52) | 0.14 (0.02, 0.26) |
| Obese (≥30) | 6 (4.6) | 0.19 (0.03, 0.53) | 0.61 (0.14, 0.93) | 0.06 (0.01, 0.27) | 0.13 (0.02, 0.34) |
| Japanese | |||||
| Normal (<25) | 114 (80.9) | 0.51 (0.38, 0.63) | 0.01 (0.00, 0.09) | 0.09 (0.04, 0.20) | 0.38 (0.25, 0.51) |
| Overweight (25–29.9) | 19 (13.5) | 0.42 (0.22, 0.57) | 0.09 (0.01, 0.43) | 0.24 (0.08, 0.48) | 0.25 (0.12, 0.41) |
| Obese (≥30) | 8 (5.7) | 0.19 (0.03, 0.46) | 0.52 (0.12, 0.88) | 0.05 (0.01, 0.23) | 0.25 (0.06, 0.48) |
| Hispanic | |||||
| Normal (<25) | 15 (21.1) | 0.52 (0.28, 0.72) | 0.01 (0.00, 0.06) | 0.10 (0.03, 0.26) | 0.37 (0.16, 0.61) |
| Overweight (25–29.9) | 26 (36.6) | 0.43 (0.23, 0.62) | 0.06 (0.02, 0.20) | 0.27 (0.10, 0.50) | 0.24 (0.10, 0.45) |
| Obese (≥30) | 30 (42.3) | 0.22 (0.07, 0.44) | 0.44 (0.18, 0.71) | 0.07 (0.01, 0.28) | 0.28 (0.12, 0.48) |
The highest probability is in bold.