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. 2011 May 4;33(4):522–539. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9566.2010.01304.x

Table 6.

Average odds ratios of HIV infection from multilevel logistic regression models (95% confidence intervals are given in square brackets)

Parameter Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Fixed effects
Sex of respondent (male)
 female 1.56 [1.44, 1.70]* 1.57 [1.44, 1.71]* 1.68 [1.53, 1.85]*
Age group (40 + )
 15–19 0.15 [0.14, 0.17]* 0.16 [0.14, 0.17]* 0.35 [0.31, 0.39]*
 20–29 0.74 [0.70, 0.79]* 0.75 [0.70, 0.79]* 0.94 [0.88, 1.00]
 30–39 1.41 [1.33, 1.49]* 1.41 [1.33, 1.49]* 1.49 [1.40, 1.58]*
Residence (urban)
 rural 0.61 [0.57, 0.64]* 0.61 [0.57, 0.64]* 0.63 [0.59, 0.67]*
Education level (none)
 primary 1.26 [1.18, 1.36]* 1.24 [1.16, 1.34]* 1.21 [1.13, 1.31]*
 secondary 1.12 [1.04, 1.22]* 1.10 [1.01, 1.19]* 1.12 [1.03, 1.21]*
Sex of household head (male)
 female 1.45 [1.38, 1.52]* 1.44 [1.37, 1.51]* 1.17 [1.11, 1.23]*
Wealth quintile (lowest)
 second 1.16 [1.08, 1.26]* 1.16 [1.07, 1.25]* 1.18 [1.09, 1.28]*
 third 1.27 [1.17, 1.37]* 1.26 [1.17, 1.36]* 1.31 [1.21, 1.41]*
 fourth 1.46 [1.35, 1.58]* 1.44 [1.33, 1.56]* 1.51 [1.39, 1.63]*
 highest 1.26 [1.15, 1.38]* 1.24 [1.13, 1.36]* 1.35 [1.23, 1.48]*
Religion (Catholic/Orthodox)
 Protestant 0.93 [0.87, 0.99]* 0.93 [0.88, 1.00]* 0.95 [0.89, 1.01]
 Muslim 0.80 [0.72, 0.89]* 0.81 [0.73, 0.90]* 0.83 [0.75, 0.92]*
HIV/AIDS awareness (low)
 average 1.08 [1.02, 1.14]* 1.06 [1.00, 1.12]
 high 1.14 [1.08, 1.21]* 1.08 [1.02, 1.15]*
Marital status (married monogamous)
 married polygamous 1.02 [0.94, 1.10]
 previously married 2.51 [2.34, 2.69]*
Age at first marriage (20 + )
 <16 yrs 0.99 [0.89, 1.11]
 16–17 0.84 [0.77, 0.92]*
 18–19 0.89 [0.83, 0.96]*
 Never married 0.98 [0.88, 1.08]
Age at first sex (20 + )
 Never had sex 0.40 [0.35, 0.46]*
 <16 yrs 1.08 [1.00, 1.18]
 16–17 1.19 [1.10, 1.28]*
 18–19 1.12 [1.04, 1.20]*
 Premarital sex 1.38 [1.29, 1.48]*
 Risky sexual behaviour1 1.12 [1.04, 1.20]*
 Multiple sex partners 1.33 [1.24, 1.44]*
Random variances
 Region constant 0.15 [0.11, 0.19]* 0.15 [0.11, 0.19]* 0.14 [0.10, 0.18]*
 Country constant 1.41 [0.51, 2.32]* 1.43 [0.51, 2.34]* 1.44 [0.52, 2.36]*
 Country sex 0.02 [0.00, 0.04]* 0.02 [0.00, 0.04] 0.02 [0.00, 0.04]
*

Statistical significance at 5% level P < 0.05.

1

No condom use at last sex, with non-spousal partner

Model 1 controlling for background socioeconomic and demographic factors.

Model 2 controlling for background factors plus HIV/AIDS awareness.

Model 3 controlling for background factors, HIV/AIDS awareness, and sexual behaviour.