Table 6.
Average odds ratios of HIV infection from multilevel logistic regression models (95% confidence intervals are given in square brackets)
Parameter | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Fixed effects | |||
Sex of respondent (male) | |||
female | 1.56 [1.44, 1.70]* | 1.57 [1.44, 1.71]* | 1.68 [1.53, 1.85]* |
Age group (40 + ) | |||
15–19 | 0.15 [0.14, 0.17]* | 0.16 [0.14, 0.17]* | 0.35 [0.31, 0.39]* |
20–29 | 0.74 [0.70, 0.79]* | 0.75 [0.70, 0.79]* | 0.94 [0.88, 1.00] |
30–39 | 1.41 [1.33, 1.49]* | 1.41 [1.33, 1.49]* | 1.49 [1.40, 1.58]* |
Residence (urban) | |||
rural | 0.61 [0.57, 0.64]* | 0.61 [0.57, 0.64]* | 0.63 [0.59, 0.67]* |
Education level (none) | |||
primary | 1.26 [1.18, 1.36]* | 1.24 [1.16, 1.34]* | 1.21 [1.13, 1.31]* |
secondary | 1.12 [1.04, 1.22]* | 1.10 [1.01, 1.19]* | 1.12 [1.03, 1.21]* |
Sex of household head (male) | |||
female | 1.45 [1.38, 1.52]* | 1.44 [1.37, 1.51]* | 1.17 [1.11, 1.23]* |
Wealth quintile (lowest) | |||
second | 1.16 [1.08, 1.26]* | 1.16 [1.07, 1.25]* | 1.18 [1.09, 1.28]* |
third | 1.27 [1.17, 1.37]* | 1.26 [1.17, 1.36]* | 1.31 [1.21, 1.41]* |
fourth | 1.46 [1.35, 1.58]* | 1.44 [1.33, 1.56]* | 1.51 [1.39, 1.63]* |
highest | 1.26 [1.15, 1.38]* | 1.24 [1.13, 1.36]* | 1.35 [1.23, 1.48]* |
Religion (Catholic/Orthodox) | |||
Protestant | 0.93 [0.87, 0.99]* | 0.93 [0.88, 1.00]* | 0.95 [0.89, 1.01] |
Muslim | 0.80 [0.72, 0.89]* | 0.81 [0.73, 0.90]* | 0.83 [0.75, 0.92]* |
HIV/AIDS awareness (low) | |||
average | 1.08 [1.02, 1.14]* | 1.06 [1.00, 1.12] | |
high | 1.14 [1.08, 1.21]* | 1.08 [1.02, 1.15]* | |
Marital status (married monogamous) | |||
married polygamous | 1.02 [0.94, 1.10] | ||
previously married | 2.51 [2.34, 2.69]* | ||
Age at first marriage (20 + ) | |||
<16 yrs | 0.99 [0.89, 1.11] | ||
16–17 | 0.84 [0.77, 0.92]* | ||
18–19 | 0.89 [0.83, 0.96]* | ||
Never married | 0.98 [0.88, 1.08] | ||
Age at first sex (20 + ) | |||
Never had sex | 0.40 [0.35, 0.46]* | ||
<16 yrs | 1.08 [1.00, 1.18] | ||
16–17 | 1.19 [1.10, 1.28]* | ||
18–19 | 1.12 [1.04, 1.20]* | ||
Premarital sex | 1.38 [1.29, 1.48]* | ||
Risky sexual behaviour1 | 1.12 [1.04, 1.20]* | ||
Multiple sex partners | 1.33 [1.24, 1.44]* | ||
Random variances | |||
Region constant | 0.15 [0.11, 0.19]* | 0.15 [0.11, 0.19]* | 0.14 [0.10, 0.18]* |
Country constant | 1.41 [0.51, 2.32]* | 1.43 [0.51, 2.34]* | 1.44 [0.52, 2.36]* |
Country sex | 0.02 [0.00, 0.04]* | 0.02 [0.00, 0.04] | 0.02 [0.00, 0.04] |
Statistical significance at 5% level P < 0.05.
No condom use at last sex, with non-spousal partner
Model 1 controlling for background socioeconomic and demographic factors.
Model 2 controlling for background factors plus HIV/AIDS awareness.
Model 3 controlling for background factors, HIV/AIDS awareness, and sexual behaviour.