Table 3.
Three-level Logit Models Predicting College Enrollment
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Individual-Level Variables | ||||
| High School Graduate | 1.3709* (0.0915) | 1.3670* (0.0911) | 1.3710* (0.0907) | 1.3705* (0.09179) |
| Individual College Goals | 0.8898* (0.1588) | 0.9194* (0.1599) | 1.0434* (0.1694) | 1.0169* (0.1759) |
| Neighborhood-Level Variables and Interactions | ||||
| Nhood Mean College Goals | 0.0388 (0.1102) | −0.0384 (0.1110) | −0.0971 (0.1234) | −0.1231 (0.1203) |
| Individual Goals X Nhood Mean College Goals | 0.0243 (0.0846) | −0.0059 (0.0837) | 0.0287 (0.0925) | 0.0133 (0.0995) |
| College Goals Nhood Heterogeneity Thirds: | ||||
| Middle Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.0161 (0.1102) | −0.0178 (0.1086) | −0.0179 (0.1342) | 0.0441 (0.1134) |
| Top Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.0827 (0.1217) | −0.0851 (0.1280) | 0.0889 (0.1478) | −0.0080 (0.1326) |
| Individual Goal X NHood Goal Heterogeneity Thirds: | ||||
| Middle Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.3885* (0.1623) | −0.3584* (0.1647) | −0.3130 (0.1830) | −0.3139 (0.1833) |
| Top Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.4679* | −0.4309* (0.1678) | −0.3752* (0.1858) | −0.3741* (0.1865) |
| Nhood Disadvantage Scale Thirds: | ||||
| Middle Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.0526 (0.0769) | −0.0242 (0.0749) | 0.0092 (0.0762) | |
| Top Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.2504* (0.0917) | −0.1980* (0.0938) | −0.1045 (0.1025) | |
| Individual Goal X Nhood Disadvantage Scale Thirds: | ||||
| Middle Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.0812 (0.0587) | −0.0756 (0.0590) | −0.0637 (0.0595) | |
| Top Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.0900 (0.0741) | −0.1001 (0.0703) | −0.577 (0.0768) | |
| Nhood Intergenerational Closure | −0.1158 (0.1201) | |||
| Nhood Social Cohesion | 0.0209 (0.0984) | |||
| Nhood Disorder | −0.0768 (0.0512) | |||
| Ind. Goals X Nhood Intergenerational Closure | 0.0256 (0.1001) | |||
| Ind. Goals X Nhood Social Cohesion | 0.0396 (0.0591) | |||
| Ind. Goals X Nhood Disorder | −0.0380 (0.0491) | |||
| School-Level Variables and Interactions | ||||
| School Mean College Goals | 0.6967 (0.4589) | 0.6871 (0.4796) | ||
| Individual Goals X School Mean College Goals | −0.3089 (0.2387) | −0.2949 (0.2622) | ||
| College Goals School Heterogeneity Thirds: | ||||
| Middle Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.3787* (0.1515) | −0.4086* (0.1541) | ||
| Top Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.3537 (0.2294) | −0.3618 (0.2384) | ||
| Individual Goal X School Goal Heterogeneity Thirds: | ||||
| Middle Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.1187 (0.1385) | −0.1294 (0.1411) | ||
| Top Third vs. Bottom Third | −0.2329 (0.1586) | −0.2337 (0.1648) | ||
| Constant | −2.2160* (0.2738) | −2.1326* (0.2649) | −1.8547* (0.3264) | −1.9071* (0.3481) |
| Variance Components | ||||
| neighborhood | 0.0378 | 0.0389 | 0.0474 | 0.0437 |
| school community | 0.1023 | 0.0985 | 0.0617 | 0.0612 |
| N individuals | 13,943 | 13,943 | 13,943 | 13,943 |
| N neighborhoods | 1,337 | 1,337 | 1,337 | 1,337 |
| N school communities | 89 | 89 | 89 | 89 |
NOTES: Models weighted by reliability of neighborhood goal means and school goal means
*
p < 0.05; Robust standard errors in parentheses
Individual, family, and school control variable coefficients in Appendix Table B4; Missing values on control variables imputed using multiple imputation with 10 replications