Table 2. Estimated deaths averted from scaling-up health care interventions in Ethiopia from 2011 to 2015.

Intervention	Current coverage(2011)	Scenario 1	Deaths avertedScenario 1	Scenario 2	Deaths avertedScenario 2	Scenario 3	Deaths avertedScenario 3
Institutional delivery	15.7%	65.0%	26700	90.0%	45900	90.0%	45900
Labor and delivery management *	3.1%	45.5%	11800	90.0%	21500	90.0%	21500
Oral Rehydration Solution	37.0%	65.0%	26700	90.0%	42600	90.0%	52800
Case management of pneumonia	0.0%	17.0%	4200	90.0%	20800	90.0%	27000
Breastfeeding	49.0%	57.0%	2800	90.0%	17600	90.0%	18500
Case management of severe neonatal infection	25.0%	42.0%	5800	90.0%	15700	90.0%	20200
Antimalarials	8.0%	54.0%	8900	90.0%	12600	8.0%	0
Pneumococcal vaccine	0.0%	90.0%	12600	90.0%	12500	0.0%	0
Zinc for treatment	0.0%	62.0%	9900	90.0%	12000	0.0%	0
Insecticide treated materials or indoor residual spraying	42.0%	65.0%	4200	90.0%	8900	42.0%	0
Preventive postnatal care	5.0%	25.0%	2300	90.0%	8700	5.0%	0
Kangaroo mother care	6.3%	45.5%	4800	90.0%	8200	6.3%	0
Prevention of Mother To Child Transmission ofHIV (PMTCT)	8.0%	76.0%	5700	90.0%	7200	8.0%	0
Improved water source	65.2%	98.3%	5800	90.0%	4400	90.0%	0
Measles vaccine	77.0%	90.0%	100	90.0%	100	77.0%	0
Total			114600		217200		164400

numbers of lives averted by teves averted by teh breastfeeding intervention increases and the number of lives averted by other.

We model scale-up in three scenarios. Current coverage data (2011) are from HSDP IV and the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (2005). The definitions of the interventions can be accessed through Appendix S1 and details about scenarios 1, 2 and 3 can be found in Figure 1.

^*Labor and delivery management is a subcomponent of the institutional delivery intervention.