Table 2. Fixed parameter values for the five models.
Parameter | Model A | Model B | Model C | Model D | Model E |
Duration of maternal immunity | 13 weeks | 13 weeks | 13 weeks | 13 weeks | 13 weeks |
Duration of incubation period | NA | NA | 1 day | NA | NA |
Duration of infectiousness | |||||
First infection | 7 days (severe) | 7 days | 7 days | 7 days | 7 days |
Subsequent infections | 3.5 days (mild) | 3.5 days | 3.5 days | 3.5 days | 7 days |
Relative risk of infection following: | |||||
First infection | NA | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
Second infection | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | |
Third infection | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | |
Proportion of infections with any RVGE (severe RVGE) | |||||
First infection | 0.76 (0.24) for | 0.47 (0.13) | 0.47 (0.13) | 0.47 (0.13) | 0.47 (0.13) |
Second infection | <5 yr olds | 0.25 (0.03) | 0.25 (0.03) | 0.25 (0.03) | 0.25 (0.03) |
Third infection | Estimated for ≥5 | 0.20 (0) | 0.20 (0) | 0.32 (0) | 0.32 (0) |
Fourth infection | yr olds | NA | NA | 0.20 (0) | 0.20 (0) |
Relative infectiousness (compared to first infection) | |||||
Second infection | 0.5 for mild vs severe RVGE; | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Only individuals with any RVGE |
Subsequent infections | asymptomatic infections do not transmit | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | transmit (see above) |
Duration of complete immunity | 1 year | 1 year | 1 year | NA | NA |
Type of cases reported | Severe RVGE | Severe RVGE | Severe RVGE | Any RVGE | Any RVGE |