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. 2012 Aug 14;6(8):e1788. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001788

Table 2. Factors associated with membership of a community in a cluster of high T. infestans infestation in the Moreno Department, Santiago del Estero, Argentina.

Variables analyzed1 Model fit
Model Den Dist LST NDVI Elev Deg Def Crops Constant ?2 Δi 2 ωi
1 +X** +X** +X** −X** +X* +X* −X* −X 154** 0.0 0.68
2 +X** −XNS +X** +X** −X** +X* +X* −X** −X 154** 2.1 0.25
3 +X** +X** +X** −X** −X* −X 144** 6.1 0.03
4 +X** +X** +X* −X** +X −X* −X 146** 6.3 0.03
6 +X** +X** −X** +X** +X** −X** +X** 143** 9.1 0.01
5 +X** +X* −X** +X** +X** −X* −X 131** 20.1 2.90E-05
7 +X** +X* +X* −X** +X** +X* −X* 123** 28.9 3.60E-07
8 +X** +X* −X** +X** +X** −X* −X* 106** 46.0 1.00E-10
9 +X** +X* −X** +XNS −X* −X** 82** 67.2 2.60E-15
10 +X** +X** +X* +XNS +XNS −XNS −X** 97** 55.1 7.30E-13
Σ ωi(j) 1.00 0.25 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.94 0.96 0.99
1

Variables: Den, density of rural houses (# per sq. km); Dist, distance from a community to the nearest T. infestans infested community (meters); LST, mean maximum land surface temperature (°C); NDVI, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (no units); Elev, mean elevation of each community (meters above sea level); Deg, percentage of landscape within 2 km of a village that was degraded (see text for details); Def, percentage of landscape within 2 km of a community that was deforested (see text for details); Crops, percentage of landscape within 2 km of a village that was modified for soy production.

Symbols: X (variable tested in model); — (variable not tested in model); − (negative association) + (positive association);

**

(P≤0,01);

*

(0,01<P≤0,05); NS (not significant).

Δi = AICi−AICmin.

ωi = exp (−1/2 Δi)/Σ exp (−1/2 Δi).

Σ ωi(j): sum of ωi values from every model in which variable i was present. Indicates the relative importance of each independent variable in predicting the data.

2

Lowest AIC = 60.8.