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. 2012 Jul 20;13(5):663–676. doi: 10.1007/s10198-012-0413-8

Table 5.

Age-specific clinical outcome of active chronic hepatitis B by HBeAg status in the natural history scenario

HBeAg status n Outcome
Age-group (years) Cirrhosis (%) Decompensated Cirrhosis (%) HCC (%) Liver transplant (%) Death (%)
HBeAg+
 <15 90,621 819 (1) 863 (1) 1,234 (1) 503 (0,5) 2,574 (3)
 15–24 91,504 833 (1) 877 (1) 1,257 (1) 512 (0,5) 2,617 (3)
 25–34 113,892 35,401 (31) 12,082 (11) 8,461 (7) 5,776 (5) 27,276 (24)
 35–44 35,222 10,966 (31) 3,694 (11) 2,561 (7) 1,769 (5) 8,316 (24)
 45–54 11,923 3,783 (32) 1,741 (15) 1,050 (9) 825 (7) 3,842 (32)
 55–64 5,070 1,630 (32) 779 (16) 452 (9) 359 (7) 1,689 (33)
 65+ 4,565 1,574 (34) 241 (5) 206 (5) 109 (2) 526 (12)
 All HBeAg+ 352,797 55,006 (16) 20,277 (6) 15,221 (4) 9,853 (3) 46,840 (13)
HBeAg−
 <15 47,586 424 (1) 680 (1) 1,153 (2) 412 (1) 2,465 (5)
 15–24 45,804 406 (1) 657 (1) 1,110 (2) 400 (1) 2,389 (5)
 25–34 132,322 99,242 (75) 22,392 (17) 26,464 (20) 11,770 (9) 67,484 (51)
 35–44 96,610 73,924 (76) 16,424 (17) 19,322 (20) 8,695 (9) 50,237 (52)
 45–54 74,353 54,278 (73) 12,640 (17) 15,614 (21) 6,692 (9) 39,407 (53)
 55–64 41,595 28,285 (68) 7,071 (17) 8,319 (20) 3,744 (9) 22,045 (53)
 65+ 37,280 25,723 (69) 4,846 (13) 5,592 (15) 2,237 (6) 13,794 (37)
 All HBeAg− 475,550 323,374 (68) 76,088 (16) 90,355 (19) 38,044 (8) 223,509 (47)
 Total 828,347 356,189 (43) 91,118 (11) 99,402 (12) 49,701 (6) 256,788 (31)