eFigure 2.

Incidence of T2D by BMI, triglycerides, and glucose.

Notes: Colored points: incidence in 27 groups defined by the 50% and 90% quantiles of BMI, triglycerides, and glucose, by gender. BMI groups are distinguished by vertical dashed lines, triglyceride groups by color (blue, orange, and red indicate increasing levels), and glucose groups by point size (increasing size for increasing levels). The x coordinate of each point indicates the mean BMI in the corresponding B_iT_jG_k group. White lines: smoothing spline estimate of incidence of type 2 diabetes by glucose only, with 95% bootstrapped confidence band. The 50% and 90% quantiles for glucose were 5.1 and 6.4 for men and 5.0 and 6.1 for women, the quantiles for BMI and triglycerides are given in Table 1.

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; T2D, type 2 diabetes.