Table 3.

Age- and sex-specific 10-, 20-, 30-, and 40-year and lifetime risk estimates (in percentage) for ESRD by level of kidney function

Kidney Function	Sex	Index Age (Years)	Short- and Intermediate-Term Risk (Years)				Lifetime Risk
			10	20	30	40
Unadjusted for competing risk of death
eGFR≥90	Men	40	0.09 (0.06–0.11)	0.24 (0.20–0.29)	0.54 (0.45–0.64)	0.93 (0.62–1.24)	0.95 (0.63–1.24)
eGFR≥90	Men	50	0.16 (0.12–0.19)	0.46 (0.37–0.55)	0.84 (0.54–1.15)		0.85 (0.54–1.15)
eGFR≥90	Men	60	0.29 (0.21–0.38)	0.68 (0.38–0.99)			0.69 (0.38–0.99)
eGFR≥90	Men	70	0.39 (0.09–0.68)				0.40 (0.10–0.69)
eGFR≥90	Women	40	0.07 (0.05–0.09)	0.18 (0.15–0.22)	0.35 (0.28–0.42)	0.66 (0.45–0.87)	0.88 (0.40–1.36)
eGFR≥90	Women	50	0.11 (0.08–0.14)	0.28 (0.21–0.34)	0.58 (0.38–0.79)		0.80 (0.33–1.28)
eGFR≥90	Women	60	0.17 (0.11–0.22)	0.47 (0.27–0.68)			0.69 (0.22–1.17)
eGFR≥90	Women	70	0.31 (0.11–0.51)				0.53 (0.05–1.00)
eGFR=60–89	Men	40	0.12 (0.08–0.16)	0.29 (0.23–0.34)	0.54 (0.47–0.61)	0.94 (0.84–1.04)	1.27 (1.11–1.42)
eGFR=60–89	Men	50	0.17 (0.13–0.21)	0.42 (0.36–0.48)	0.82 (0.73–0.91)		1.15 (1.00–1.30)
eGFR=60–89	Men	60	0.25 (0.20–0.30)	0.65 (0.57–0.74)			0.99 (0.86–1.18)
eGFR=60–89	Men	70	0.40 (0.33–0.47)				0.73 (0.61–0.92)
eGFR=60–89	Women	40	0.09 (0.06–0.13)	0.21 (0.16–0.25)	0.38 (0.32–0.44)	0.57 (0.50–0.65)	0.71 (0.62–0.81)
eGFR=60–89	Women	50	0.11 (0.08–0.14)	0.28 (0.23–0.33)	0.48 (0.41–0.55)		0.62 (0.53–0.71)
eGFR=60–89	Women	60	0.17 (0.13–0.21)	0.37 (0.31–0.43)			0.51 (0.42–0.59)
eGFR=60–89	Women	70	0.20 (0.15–0.25)				0.33 (0.26–0.41)
eGFR=45–59	Men	40	3.39 (1.91–4.87)	5.37 (3.80–6.94)	6.77 (5.18–8.36)	7.86 (6.27–9.45)	8.63 (7.04–10.22)
eGFR=45–59	Men	50	2.05 (1.42–2.69)	3.50 (2.77–4.23)	4.63 (3.87–5.39)		5.42 (4.63–6.21)
eGFR=45–59	Men	60	1.47 (1.09–1.86)	2.63 (2.18–3.08)			3.44 (2.94–3.94)
eGFR=45–59	Men	70	1.18 (0.92–1.43)				2.00 (1.65–2.34)
eGFR=45–59	Women	40	1.24 (0.46–2.02)	2.00 (1.13–2.87)	2.75 (1.85–3.64)	3.34 (2.44–4.24)	3.59 (2.68–4.49)
eGFR=45–59	Women	50	0.78 (0.37–1.16)	1.52 (1.06–1.98)	2.12 (1.64–2.61)		2.37 (1.87–2.87)
eGFR=45–59	Women	60	0.76 (0.51–1.01)	1.37 (1.07–1.66)			1.62 (1.31–1.92)
eGFR=45–59	Women	70	0.61 (0.45–0.77)				0.86 (0.67–1.06)
eGFR 30–44	Men	40	24.57 (16.95–32.19)	40.07 (33.11–47.04)	47.90 (41.66–54.13)	51.20 (45.33–57.06)	52.43 (46.71–58.16)
eGFR=30–44	Men	50	20.55 (15.99–25.11)	30.92 (26.50–35.34)	35.30 (31.08–39.51)		36.94 (32.81–41.06)
eGFR=30–44	Men	60	13.05 (10.59–15.52)	18.56 (16.06–21.07)			20.63 (18.13–23.13)
eGFR=30–44	Men	70	6.34 (5.21–7.46)				9.21 (7.87–10.56)
eGFR=30–44	Women	40	13.58 (7.72–19.43)	22.91 (16.89–28.92)	27.77 (21.99–33.54)	29.81 (24.18–35.45)	30.40 (24.81–35.99)
eGFR=30–44	Women	50	10.80 (7.35–14.24)	16.42 (12.88–19.96)	18.79 (15.30–22.28)		19.46 (16.00–22.93)
eGFR=30–44	Women	60	6.31 (4.68–7.94)	8.96 (7.25–10.67)			9.72 (8.00–11.43)
eGFR=30–44	Women	70	2.83 (2.14–3.52)				3.64 (2.90–4.37)
Adjusted for competing risk of death
eGFR≥90	Men	40	0.09 (0.06–0.11)	0.24 (0.19–0.28)	0.49 (0.41–0.57)	0.71 (0.53–0.89)	0.72 (0.54–0.89)
eGFR≥90	Men	50	0.16 (0.12–0.19)	0.41 (0.33–0.50)	0.64 (0.46–0.82)		0.65 (0.47–0.83)
eGFR≥90	Men	60	0.28 (0.20–0.35)	0.52 (0.33–0.71)			0.53 (0.34–0.71)
eGFR≥90	Men	70	0.29 (0.08–0.49)				0.30 (0.09–0.50)
eGFR≥90	Women	40	0.07 (0.05–0.09)	0.18 (0.15–0.21)	0.33 (0.27–0.39)	0.56 (0.41–0.72)	0.67 (0.41–0.94)
eGFR≥90	Women	50	0.11 (0.08–0.14)	0.26 (0.20–0.32)	0.50 (0.34–0.66)		0.60 (0.34–0.88)
eGFR≥90	Women	60	0.16 (0.11–0.22)	0.41 (0.24–0.57)			0.52 (0.24–0.80)
eGFR≥90	Women	70	0.27 (0.10–0.44)				0.40 (0.10–0.69)
eGFR=60–89	Men	40	0.12 (0.08–0.16)	0.28 (0.23–0.33)	0.51 (0.44–0.58)	0.83 (0.74–0.92)	1.01 (0.90–1.11)
eGFR=60–89	Men	50	0.17 (0.13–0.20)	0.40 (0.34–0.46)	0.73 (0.64–0.81)		0.90 (0.80–1.00)
eGFR=60–89	Men	60	0.25 (0.20–0.29)	0.58 (0.50–0.66)			0.76 (0.67–0.86)
eGFR=60–89	Men	70	0.36 (0.30–0.43)				0.58 (0.48–0.66)
eGFR=60–89	Women	40	0.09 (0.06–0.13)	0.20 (0.16–0.25)	0.36 (0.30–0.42)	0.53 (0.46–0.61)	0.63 (0.54–0.71)
eGFR=60–89	Women	50	0.11 (0.08–0.14)	0.27 (0.23–0.32)	0.45 (0.38–0.51)		0.45 (0.38–0.51)
eGFR=60–89	Women	60	0.17 (0.13–0.21)	0.34 (0.29–0.40)			0.44 (0.37–0.51)
eGFR=60–89	Women	70	0.19 (0.15–0.23)				0.29 (0.23–0.35)
eGFR=45–59	Men	40	3.35 (1.88–4.81)	5.19 (3.64–6.75)	6.38 (4.80–7.95)	7.14 (5.58–8.71)	7.51 (5.95–9.08)
eGFR=45–59	Men	50	1.96 (1.35–2.57)	3.21 (2.53–3.90)	4.03 (3.33–4.73)		4.42 (3.71–5.13)
eGFR=45–59	Men	60	1.40 (1.04–1.77)	2.32 (1.90–2.73)			2.75 (2.32–3.18)
eGFR=45–59	Men	70	1.06 (0.83–1.29)				1.56 (1.29–1.83)
eGFR=45–59	Women	40	1.23 (0.46–2.00)	1.95 (1.10–2.81)	2.61 (1.73–3.48)	3.07 (2.19–3.95)	3.21 (2.33–4.09)
eGFR=45–59	Women	50	0.75 (0.36–1.14)	1.44 (0.99–1.89)	1.92 (1.45–2.39)		2.07 (1.60–2.54)
eGFR=45–59	Women	60	0.73 (0.49–0.98)	1.26 (0.98–1.53)			1.42 (1.13–1.70)
eGFR=45–59	Women	70	0.57 (0.42–0.73)				0.75 (0.58–0.92)
eGFR=30–44	Men	40	26.87 (18.43–35.30)	44.60 (36.98–52.30)	52.64 (45.85–59.43)	55.05 (48.58–61.51)	55.54 (49.14–61.93)
eGFR=30–44	Men	50	20.57 (15.91–25.23)	29.82 (25.27–34.38)	32.62 (28.19–37.05)		33.18 (28.78–37.59)
eGFR=30–44	Men	60	11.98 (9.61–14.34)	15.59 (13.21–17.98)			16.32 (13.94–18.71)
eGFR=30–44	Men	70	5.36 (4.36–6.36)				6.44 (5.41–7.47)
eGFR=30–44	Women	40	13.68 (7.68–19.67)	22.96 (16.74–29.18)	27.13 (21.09–33.16)	28.55 (22.60–34.49)	28.81 (22.88–34.73)
eGFR=30–44	Women	50	10.69 (7.16–14.22)	15.49 (11.85–19.13)	17.13 (13.51–20.74)		17.43 (13.81–21.04)
eGFR=30–44	Women	60	5.84 (4.30–7.38)	7.83 (6.24–9.42)			8.19 (6.60–9.78)
eGFR=30–44	Women	70	2.58 (1.93–3.23)				3.05 (2.39–3.72)