Table 8.
Derivation of Smoothed Probability of Surviving and Smoothed Mortality Levels for Northern Nigeria
| Age | x | lx(i) |
Probabilities of surviving lS(i) |
Logit {lx(i)} | Logit {lx(s)} | Logit {lx(l) | Smoothed Probability of Surviving | Smoothed Probability of Dying | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 12 | Level 13 | Level 12.77 | ||||||||
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
| 15-19 |
1 |
0.8879 |
0.87255 |
0.88497 |
0.88211 |
−1.03473 |
−1.00628 |
−0.99529 |
0.87980 |
0.12020 |
| 20-24 |
2 |
0.8379 |
0.83620 |
0.85299 |
0.84913 |
−0.82134 |
−0.86390 |
−0.85291 |
0.84629 |
0.15371 |
| 25-29 |
3 |
0.8386 |
0.81397 |
0.83342 |
0.82900 |
−0.82392 |
−0.78928 |
−0.77829 |
0.82586 |
0.17414 |
| 30-34 |
5 |
0.7943 |
0.78466 |
0.80764 |
0.80236 |
−0.67552 |
−0.70056 |
−0.68957 |
0.79885 |
0.20115 |
| 35-39 |
10 |
0.7565 |
0.75097 |
0.77729 |
0.77124 |
−0.56679 |
−0.60766 |
−0.59667 |
0.76734 |
0.23266 |
| 40-44 |
15 |
0.7811 |
0.73375 |
0.76138 |
0.75503 |
−0.63604 |
−0.56281 |
−0.55182 |
0.75094 |
0.24906 |
| 45-49 | 20 | 0.7059 | 0.71487 | 0.74346 | 0.73688 | −0.43778 | −0.51491 | −0.50392 | 0.73260 | 0.26740 |
lx(i): Probability of surviving for index population; lx(s): Probability of surviving for standard population.