Table 9.
Derivation of Smoothed Probability of Surviving and Smoothed Mortality Levels for Southern Nigeria
| Age | x | lx(i) |
Probabilities of survivinglS(i) |
Logit{lx(i)} | Logit{lx(s)} | Logit{lx(l) | Smoothed Probability of Surviving | Smoothed Probability of Dying | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 16 | Level 17 | Level 16.21 | ||||||||
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
| 15-19 |
1 |
0.9231 |
0.91750 |
0.92764 |
0.91963 |
−1.24262 |
−1.21866 |
−1.23807 |
0.92245 |
0.07755 |
| 20-24 |
2 |
0.8940 |
0.89785 |
0.91162 |
0.90074 |
−1.06613 |
−1.10275 |
−1.12216 |
0.90416 |
0.09584 |
| 25-29 |
3 |
0.8910 |
0.88526 |
0.90101 |
0.88857 |
−1.05050 |
−1.03810 |
−1.05751 |
0.89235 |
0.10765 |
| 30-34 |
5 |
0.8893 |
0.86818 |
0.88633 |
0.87199 |
−1.04181 |
−0.95934 |
−0.97875 |
0.87626 |
0.12374 |
| 35-39 |
10 |
0.8683 |
0.84751 |
0.86868 |
0.85196 |
−0.94301 |
−0.87501 |
−0.89442 |
0.85679 |
0.14321 |
| 40-44 |
15 |
0.8705 |
0.83592 |
0.85853 |
0.84067 |
−0.95269 |
−0.83160 |
−0.85101 |
0.84580 |
0.15420 |
| 45-49 | 20 | 0.8338 | 0.82169 | 0.84564 | 0.82672 | −0.80640 | −0.78128 | −0.80069 | 0.83221 | 0.16779 |
lx(i): Probability of surviving for index population; lx(s): Probability of surviving for standard population.