Figure 1.

Schematic diagram of stochastic outbreak models to estimate the expected size of a measles outbreak in a school, depending on the delay between detection and implementation of a complete school outbreak-response vaccination campaign. Susceptible persons (susceptibles) become affected if they are infected and become vaccinated after vaccination is implemented. Vaccinated persons (vaccinated) can also be infected but with lower probability than susceptible persons. Those who become affected are followed individually, each with their own transmission and clinical time lines.