Table 4.
Decompositions with pooled reference group
| Subjective Risk | Objective Risk | Harm to Child | Substantiation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw difference | .058 | −.104 | −.041+ | −.134* |
| Model 1: race and geographic factors | ||||
| Explained | .119 (.086) | .031 (.115) | −.040+ (.024) | −.073 (.046) |
| Percent | 205.17% | −29.81% | 97.56% | 54.48% |
| Unexplained | −.062 (.097) | −.135 (.175) | −.001 (.031) | −.061 (.046) |
| Percent | −106.90% | 129.81% | 2.44% | 45.52% |
| Model 2: add caseworker characteristics | ||||
| Explained | .113 (.082) | .034 (.115) | −.047+ (.024) | −.091* (.045) |
| Percent | 194.83% | −32.69% | 114.63% | 67.91% |
| Unexplained | −.056 (.092) | −.138 (.168) | .005 (.028) | −.043 (.042) |
| Percent | −96.55% | 132.69% | −12.20% | 32.09% |
| Model 3: add case characteristics | ||||
| Explained | .157* (.079) | .073 (.110) | −.041 (.026) | −.101* (.045) |
| Percent | 270.69% | −70.19% | 100.00% | 75.37% |
| Unexplained | −.100 (.092) | −.178 (.168) | −.000 (.028) | −.033 (.039) |
| Percent | −172.41% | 171.15% | 0.00% | 24.63% |
| Model 4: add sociodemographics | ||||
| Explained | .069 (.091) | −.116 (.121) | −.012 (.024) | −.088+ (.045) |
| Percent | 118.97% | 111.54% | 29.27% | 65.67% |
| Unexplained | −.011 (.093) | .012 (.173) | −.029 (.028) | −.046 (.039) |
| Percent | −18.97% | −11.54% | 70.73% | 34.33% |
| Model 5: add risk and harm | ||||
| Explained | −.099* (.048) | |||
| Percent | 73.88% | |||
| Unexplained | −.035 (.037) | |||
| Percent | 26.12% | |||
Notes: 1,461 observations. Standard errors in parentheses. Percentages based on absolute values. Percentage totals may not sum to 100 due to rounding. Covariates in each block are listed in Table 1.
+
p < .10;
*
p < .05