Table 1. Best-fit mixed-effects logistic growth model selection results and parameter estimates for canopy shrub volume, shrub density and ecological functioning.
Best model parameters | Parameter estimates | |||||||||
Fixed effects | Random effects | K | Δ AIC 1 | Sample period | Coefficient | Δ AIC 2 | ||||
Asym | Scale | Xmid | ||||||||
Shrub volume | ||||||||||
Asym + Xmid + Scale | Asym, Scale | 8 | −5.67 | 1977 | 5.53 | 222.02 | 489.75 | 15.69 | ||
1981 | 5.86 | 265.02 | 489.75 | 6.38 | ||||||
1989 | 5.22 | 181.61 | 489.75 | 15.69 | ||||||
2008 | 4.27 | 60.31 | 489.75 | −1.97 | ||||||
Shrub density | ||||||||||
Asym + Xmid + Scale | Asym | 6 | −5.14 | 1977 | 0.92 | 511.30 | 361.95 | −2.67 | ** | |
1981 | 0.74 | 511.30 | 361.95 | 9.31 | ||||||
1989 | 0.69 | 511.30 | 361.95 | 9.26 | ||||||
2008 | 0.69 | 511.30 | 361.95 | 9.31 | ||||||
Run-on:Run-off area | ||||||||||
Asym + Xmid + Scale | Asym, Xmid, Scale | 2008 | 4.43 | 470.00 | 838.33 | |||||
Proportion of intact mounds | ||||||||||
Asym + Xmid + Scale | Asym, Xmid, Scale | 2008 | 0.91 | 59.34 | 312.44 |
Coefficients vary by Sample Period where they differ significantly from population coefficients, while non-significant coefficients are represented only by the population value. Coefficients were considered significantly different (p<0.05) from zero.
Asym, Asymptote; Xmid, Curve inflection point; Scale, Inverse of curve steepness.
K, Number of model parameters; AIC, Akaike information criterion; ΔAIC 1, AIC difference between the full model with random effects for each Sample Period associated with all fixed parameters and the best model with a reduced random effects structure; ΔAIC 2, AIC difference between a model with separate parameters for each Sample Period and a model with separate parameters for the selected period only;
Sample Period different from all other periods combined.