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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Sep 18.
Published in final edited form as: Stat Commun Infect Dis. 2011 Oct 4;3(1):5. doi: 10.2202/1948-4690.1038

Table 1.

Parameters used in simulating the epidemics in this study. Catastrophic flu infects about 50% of the population, while strong, mildly strong, and mild flu infect approximately 30%, 20% and 10% of the population respectively. Each infected individual has a randomly assigned probability of having a specific incubation or infectious duration. For example, for catastrophic flu, each infected individual have a probability of 0.3, 0.5 or 0.2 of having an incubation period duration of 1, 2, or 3 days respectively.

Name Transmissibility Incubation Period (day probability) Infectious Period (day probability)
Catastrophic * 0.00006 1 0.3 3 0.3
2 0.5 4 0.4
3 0.2 5 0.2
6 0.1

Mildly Catastrophic ** 0.000083 0 0.20 2 0.66
1 0.45 3 0.33
2 0.35 4 0.01

Strong 0.000042 same as * same as *

Mildly Strong 0.0000365 same as * same as *

Moderate 0.0000581 same as ** same as **

Mild 0.0000333 same as * same as *