Table 5.

Area under the curve (95%CI) from the ROC analysis for incident fracture

Models	T-score	Variables at baseline	AUC	95%CI	p
1	HGS	–	0.735	0.661–0.810	<0.001
2	FN BMD	–	0.778	0.705–0.850	<0.001
3	Combined	–	0.801	0.730–0.871	<0.001
4	HGS	Age, sex, BMI, history of fall, current smoker, current drinker, presence of diabetes, physical activity	0.853	0.807–0.899	<0.001
5	FN BMD	Age, sex, BMI, history of fall, current smoker, current drinker, presence of diabetes, physical activity	0.853	0.802–0.905	<0.001
6	Combined	Age, sex, BMI, history of fall, current smoker, current drinker, presence of diabetes, physical activity	0.859	0.809–0.908	<0.001