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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Sep 30.
Published in final edited form as: Addiction. 2010 Dec 6;106(3):499–506. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2010.03228.x

Table 2.

Model validation with urine collected from 67 outpatient cannabis smokers initiating cannabis abstinence. Specimen 1 groups are based on urinary creatinine-normalized (CN)-11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THCCOOH) concentrations. Data are %reuse predictions exceeding the upper prediction limits (80, 90, 95 and 99% probabilities) and therefore, are suggestive of new cannabis use. Expected %re-use prediction rates are 10, 5, 2.5 and 0.5%, respectively. Abstinence was closely monitored with daily observed urine specimens, A includes all data; B includes all data after application of Rules 1 and 2 (see text).

Specimen 1 CN-THCCOOH concentration (ng/mg) A B
80% 90% 95% 99% 80% 90% 95% 99%
6–14.9 13.7 11.7 7.8 2.9 6.9 5.3 3.7 1.6
15–24.9 4.7 2.9 2.2 1.0 4.7 2.9 2.2 1.0
25–49.9 2.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.1
50–99.9 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2
100–199.9 6.7 4.2 2.9 1.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
200–399.9 30.9 25.6 19.4 12.4 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.3
400–599.9 26.3 21.5 19.7 15.4 8.6 4.9 3.7 2.2
600–1166 36.1 32.7 29.5 24.3 5.4 3.8 3.3 1.1