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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Arthritis Rheum. 2012 Oct;64(10):3452–3462. doi: 10.1002/art.34562

Table 3.

Comparison of Classification System Modeling and Estimates for Classification Systems using Model Averaging for the Disease Relapse, Treatment Resistance, ESKD, Death

System Modeling for Disease Relapse Model Averaging:
Classification

System
Classification Category Δ AICc

per system

model
Model

Weight
Model

Rank
P values Hazard Ratio Low

(95%CI)
High

(95%CI)
PR3/MPO 0.000 0.989 1
MPO Reference
PR3 0.0004 1.888 1.328 2.686
CHCC 11.651 0.003 3
Microscopic polyangiitis Reference
Kidney Limited Disease 0.978 0.999 0.961 1.034
Granulomatosis with polyangiitis 0.963 1.001 0.962 1.042
EMA 9.516 0.003 2
Microscopic polyangiitis Reference
Granulomatosis with polyangiitis 0.935 0.995 0.879 1.126
System Modeling for Treatment Resistance Model Averaging
Classification

System
Classification Category Δ AICc

per system
model
Weight(model
or variables)
Model

Rank
P value OR Low

(95%CI)
High

(95%CI)
PR3/MPO 1.93 0.256 2
MPO Reference
PR3 0.744 0.952 0.709 1.278
CHCC 4.47 0.072 3
Microscopic Polyangiitis Reference
Kidney Limited Disease 0.966 0.997 0.850 1.168
0.961 1.004 0.841 1.120
EMA 0 0.672 1
Microscopic Polyangiitis
Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis 0.257 1.312 0.817 2.132
System Modeling for ESKD Model Averaging
Classification

System
Classification Category Δ AICc

per system
model
Weight(model
or variables)
Model

Rank
P value HR Low

(95%CI)
High

(95%CI)
PR3/MPO 2.849 0.154 3
MPO Reference
PR3 0.907 1.009 0.871 1.168
CHCC 0 0.641 1
Microscopic Polyangiitis Reference
Kidney Limited Disease 0.186 1.302 0.880 1.926
Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis 0.693 0.923 0.619 1.375
EMA 2.288 0.204 2
Microscopic Polyangiitis Reference
Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis 0.759 1.029 0.855 1.239
System Modeling for Death Model Averaging
Classification

System
Classification Category Δ AICc

per system
model
Weight(model
or variables)
Model

Rank

P value

HR
Low

(95%CI)
High

(95%CI)
PR3/MPO 0 0.495 1
MPO Reference
PR3 0.417 1.141 0.830 1.568
CHCC 3.952 0.069 3
Microscopic Polyangiitis Reference
Kidney Limited Disease 0.987 1.001 0.900 1.113
Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis 0.951 0.996 0.863 1.149
EMA 0.251 0.437 2
Microscopic Polyangiitis Reference
Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis 0.488 1.113 0.822 1.508