Table 10.

Savings in Medicare benefits, and the number of ART children not born in 2010 as a result of the EMSNCap policy

		Without adjustment for anticipatory behaviour		With adjustment for anticipatory behaviour
	Average
	Medicare
	benefit		Total		Total
Fresh Cycles	per cycle	Cycles	savings	Cycles	savings
Predicted benefits and reduction in cycles - without policy:	$6199	5451	$33,790,749	4017	$24,901,383
Observed benefits and number of cycles - with policy:	$5108	31,504			$32,341
Savings due to policy	($1091)	31,504	$34,366,787	32,341	$35,279,845
Total savings Fresh Cycles			$68,157,536		$60,181,228
Live-birth rate per Fresh Cycle		21%		21%
ART live-births not born due to policy		1145		844
ART Multiple-birth rate		10.2%		10.2%
ART infants not born due to policy		1261		930
Frozen Cycles *
Predicted Avr benefits and reduction in cycles without policy:	$1638	1409	$2,307,942	1,409	$2,307,942
Actual benefits and number of cycles with policy:	$1348	21,276		21,276
Savings due to policy	($290)	21,276	$6,171,063	21,276	$6,171,065
Total savings Frozen Cycles			$8,479,005		$8,479,005
Live-birth rate per Frozen Cycle		18%		18%
ART live-births not born due to policy		254		254
Multiple-birth rate		10.2%		10.2%
ART infants not born due to policy		279		279
IUI Cycles *+
Predicted Avr benefits and reduction in cycles without policy:	$1270
Observed benefits and number of cycles with policy:	$549	10,504		10,504
Savings due to policy	($721)	10,504	$7,571,632	10,504	$7,571,632
Total savings IUI Cycles			$7,571,632		$7,571,632
Total Savings in Medicare benefits			$84,208,172		$76,231,865
Total ART infants not born due to policy			1540		1209

All dollar figures in constant 2010 Australian dollars. * Anticipatory behaviour was not observed for Frozen and IUI Cycles. ⁺ IUI cycles were not affected by the EMSNCap policy.