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. 2012 Oct 4;7(10):e46544. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0046544

Table 9. Fertility metrics as a function of the number of cycles of attempted conception for example 5, at a female age of 35.

Number of cycles elapsed Proportion of remaining population who are sterile Median intrinsic conception rate in remaining population 90th percentile of intrinsic conception rate in remaining population Probability of conceiving in next cycle Probability of conceiving in next 12 cycles Cumulative probability of conception
0 0.051 0.147 0.31 0.162 0.733 0
1 0.062 0.133 0.286 0.147 0.7 0.162
3 0.088 0.109 0.245 0.122 0.635 0.381
6 0.133 0.082 0.2 0.094 0.544 0.566
9 0.184 0.062 0.166 0.074 0.46 0.67
12 0.239 0.046 0.139 0.058 0.387 0.733
18 0.365 0.021 0.1 0.037 0.268 0.802
24 0.486 0.002 0.072 0.024 0.184 0.836
36 0.7 0 0.036 0.01 0.085 0.866

In example 5, couples are assumed to have peak intrinsic conception rates drawn from a beta distribution with α = 3 and β = 10; the distribution of female ages at which couples become sterile is as given in [24], Table 2; a couple's intrinsic conception rate declines linearly for 12.5 years prior to sterility.