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. 2012 Apr 20;12:288. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-288

Table 3.

Impacts of price adjustments on monthly expenditures on ACEIs, ARBs and overall renin-angiotensin drugs

Dependent variables Time period Factored ARIMA model* Independent variables Coefficients p value
Primary analyses
ACEIs
Jan 1997 toDec 2008
p = (1)(12);
Constant
4,509,908
<0.0001
    q = (1)(9)
Baseline trend
66,568
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2000 level change
-592,252
0.0151
 
 
 
PA2003 level change
-1,255,287
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2004 trend change
-96,582
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2006 level change
-1,545,767
<0.0001
 
 
 
CNY
-351,216
0.0029
ARB
Feb 1998 toDec 2008
p = (12);
Baseline trend
92,537
<0.0001
    q = (2)
PA2001 trend change
160,472
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2004 trend change
-120,338
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2007 trend change
194,043
<0.0001
 
 
 
CNY
-577,052
0.0220
Renin-angiotensin drugs
Jan 1997 to Dec 2008
p = (6);
Constant
3,753,898
<0.0001
    q = (6)
Baseline trend
152,800
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2001 trend change
110,259
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2004 trend change
-133,325
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2006 level change
-2,224,884
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2007 trend change
173,056
<0.0001
 
 
 
CNY
-1,108,357
0.0011
Subgroup analyses for ACEIs
Patented ACEIs
Jan 1997 to
Dec 2008
p = (1)(6,12);
Constant
497,488
<0.0001
    q = (1)
Baseline trend
12,684
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2001 level change
189,675
0.0281
 
 
 
PA2007 trend change
25,478
0.0088
 
 
 
CNY
-116,498
0.0011
Off-patent ACEIs
Jan 1997 to
Dec 2008
p = (1)(12);
Constant
3,987,107
<0.0001
    q = (1)(9)
Baseline trend
45,221
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2000 level change
-380,037
0.0251
 
 
 
PA2003 level change
-1,022,868
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2004 trend change
-70,970
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2006 level change
-1,675,618
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2007 level change
-689,097
0.0002
 
 
 
CNY
-239,858
0.0034
Off-patent original branded ACEIs
Jan 1997 to
Dec 2008
p = (1)(12);
Constant
3,195,426
<0.0001
    q = (1)(9)
Baseline trend
12,121
0.0081
 
 
 
PA2000 level change
-266,177
0.0271
 
 
 
PA2003 level change
-498,038
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2004 trend change
-46,182
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2006 level change
-575,144
<0.0001
 
 
 
CNY
-182,498
0.0019
Off-patent generic ACEIs
Jan 1997 to
Dec 2008
p = (1)(12);
Constant
985,881
0.0269
    q = (1)(5,9)
Baseline trend
27,153
0.0008
 
 
 
PA2003 level change
-525,353
<0.0001
 
 
 
PA2006 level change
-1,092,328
<0.0001
      PA2007 level change -524,951 <0.0001

*Factored ARIMA model is represented by p, d, q: p, auto-regressive order; d, differencing order; q, moving-average order; seasonal order is represented by p = (12), d = (12) or q = (12). Take patented ACEIs as an example. The autoregressive operator represented by p = (1)(6,12) means

(1-θ 1 B) (1-θ 6 B 6 12 B 12 ).

Parsimonious models were adopted, and therefore, only significant independent variables were incorporated into the model.

The unit of the regression coefficient is NT$ (NT$, New Taiwan Dollars; at an exchange rate of NT$30.39 to US$1 on June 30, 2008)

ACEIs, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; ARBs, angiotensin receptor blocker; ARIMA, auto-regressive integrated moving-average;

CNY, Chinese new year; PA2000, price adjustment implemented on April 1, 2000; PA2001, price adjustment implemented on April 1, 2001; PA2003, price adjustment implemented on March 1, 2003; PA2004, price adjustment implemented on November 1, 2004; PA2005, price adjustment implemented on September 1, 2005; PA2006, price adjustment implemented on November 1, 2006; PA2007, price adjustment implemented on September 1, 2007.