Table 3. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis in prediction of mortality.
Variable | AUC (CI) | Cut-off value* | Sn/Sp (%) |
APACHE II score | 0.824 (0.700–0.949) | >16 | 65/100 |
SOFA score | 0.853 (0.732–0.974) | >10 | 86/62 |
SAPS II score | 0.823 (0.692–0.953) | >41 | 81/75 |
C3 levels (mg/mL) | 0.926 (0.845–0.998) | <0.578 | 78/100 |
AUC area under curve by Hanley method to calculate standard errors, CI 95% confidential intervals, Sn/Sp sensitivity/specificity, APACHE acute physiology and chronic health evaluation, SOFA sequential organ failure assessment, SAPS II simplified acute physiology score II.
For the severity scores, higher values are predictors of mortality; but for the C3 levels, lower values are predictors of mortality.