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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Oct 18.
Published in final edited form as: J Urol. 2010 Mar 20;183(5):1779–1785. doi: 10.1016/j.juro.2010.01.001

Table.

Cox proportional hazards regression models of prostate cancer progression risk during followup using patient characteristics available at surveillance biopsy 1

Variables* No. Progression/No. Subgroup Pts Univariate
Multivariate 1
Multivariate 2
Adjusted HR (95% CI) p Value HR (95% CI) p Value HR (95% CI) p Value
Age at biopsy: 0.006 0.173 0.109
 Less than 70 55/220 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 1 (referent)
 70 or Greater 18/47 2.1 (1.3, 3.7) 1.6 (0.8, 3.0) 1.7 (0.9, 3.2)
PSA at biopsy (ng/ml): 0.013 0.369 0.305
 Less than 3.0 11/81 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 1 (referent)
 3.0 or Greater 62/186 2.3 (1.2, 4.3) 1.5 (0.6, 3.5) 1.6 (0.7, 3.6)
PSA density (ng/ml/cm3): <0.001 0.016 0.040
 Less than 0.08 24/135 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 1 (referent)
 0.08 or Greater 46/114 2.5 (1.5, 4.1) 2.2 (1.2, 4.2) 1.9 (1.0, 3.5)
% PSA at diagnosis: 0.040 0.395 0.316
 Greater than 15 46/190 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 1 (referent)
 15 or Less 20/52 1.7 (1.0, 2.9) 1.3 (0.7, 2.3) 1.3 (0.8, 2.3)
Max % core Ca involvement: <0.001 <0.001
 Less than 5 42/212 1 (referent) 1 (referent)
 5 or Greater 31/54 3.7 (2.3, 5.8) 3.4 (2.1, 5.7)
Initial surveillance biopsy result: <0.001 <0.001
 Neg 21/152 1 (referent) 1 (referent)
 Pos 52/115 3.8 (2.3, 6.2) 3.5 (2.0, 6.0)
*

In 226 men with at least 2 followup biopsies after the diagnostic biopsy, including 64 with and 162 without unfavorable biopsy result at the first surveillance biopsy, with followup defined as the date of initial surveillance biopsy to the date of unfavorable biopsy or the last favorable biopsy in censored patients, and with censoring of those who were lost to followup, withdrew or had died by the last biopsy date.