Table 1. Model Performance Statistics for GSH OP and PM10 Models.
pollu-tant | grouping | cross-validation R2a | RMSPEab | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GSH OP | across all | 0.44 | 0.29 | ||||||||
by season | winter | spring | summer | autumn | winter | spring | summer | autumn | |||
0.25 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.32 | ||||
by year | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | |
0.39 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.31 | ||
by urban volu-metric densityc | low | medium | high | low | medium | high | |||||
0.34 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.30 | ||||||
by site type | urban background | roadside | kerbside | urban background | roadside | curbside | |||||
0.45 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.31 | ||||||
annual- meand | 0.67 | 0.14 | |||||||||
spatiale | 0.73 | 0.13 | |||||||||
temporale | 0.71 | 0.12 | |||||||||
PM10 | across all | 0.83 | 4.62 | ||||||||
by season | winter | spring | summer | autumn | winter | spring | summer | autumn | |||
0.85 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.73 | 4.24 | 5.15 | 4.12 | 4.56 | ||||
by year | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | |
0.68 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 4.68 | 4.74 | 4.30 | 4.16 | 4.93 | ||
by urban volu-metric densityc | low | medium | high | low | medium | high | |||||
0.74 | 0.82 | 0.87 | 5.51 | 4.73 | 4.27 | ||||||
by site type | urban background | suburban | roadside | curbside | urban background | suburban | roadside | curbside | |||
0.88 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 3.64 | 3.43 | 4.99 | 5.74 | ||||
annual- meand | 0.67 | 2.68 | |||||||||
spatiale | 0.61 | 2.65 | |||||||||
temporale | 0.76 | 2.16 |
Across weekly averages (2118 at 34 locations for GSH OP and 12 041 at 66 locations for PM10). For PM10, two high values at two sites were removed as outliers.
RMSPE is root mean squared prediction error. Units are OP μg–1 for GSH OP and μg m–3 for PM10.
Defined using tertiles of the urban volumetric density (see text for definition) within 500 m. For PM10, across only 6710 weekly averages at the 34 locations where GSH OP was also measured.
To calculate “annual-mean” values, measurements and predictions were averaged by year at each site with at least 31 weeks of data per year.
To calculate “spatial” values, measurements and predictions were averaged over time at each site with at least 40 weeks of data; similarly “temporal” refers to averaging over locations for all weeks for which measurements were available.