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Accuracy of life expectancy predictions vs. actual survival (calculated using absolute predictive error)
| Group | Average | Standard deviation | Best predictor’s accuracy on average | Worst predictor’s accuracy on average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medical student | 77.5% | 106.4 | 38.5 | 147.9% |
| Resident | 68.6% | 97.0 | 40.1 | 111.7% |
| Attending physician | 63.8% | 81.9 | 29.7 | 149.3% |
| Overall | 67.4% | 90.4 | 29.7 | 149.3% |
