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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Dec 7.
Published in final edited form as: J Theor Biol. 2012 Aug 30;314:10–15. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.08.025

Figure 3. Tail distribution for transition to metastasis as a function of primary tumor size.

Figure 3

Our model predicts that a patient with a primary tumor of diameter 0.5 cm is very unlikely to have significant metastasis (where we define “significant201D as at least one gram). As we increase diameter, we predict that a patient with a primary tumor of diameter d = 2 cm is equally likely and unlikely to have metastasis. By d = 3, metastasis is predicted to be near-certain.