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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer. 2012 Mar 20;118(21):5358–5365. doi: 10.1002/cncr.27528

Table 3.

Overall PFS Estimates by Method

Progression Date Determination Method NCCTG SWOG

NSCLC (n=660) SCLC (n=116) NSCLC (n=297) SCLC (n=131)

Method 1
    Median PFS (95% CI)* 4.3 (3.8-4.7) 2.7 (1.6-4.2) 3.1 (2.5-4.1) 1.3 (1.2-1.6)
    6-month estimate (%) 36.5 (32.9-40.4%) 21.5 (15.1-30.6%) 31.0 (26.1-36.7%) 10.7 (6.5-17.5%)
    1-year estimate (%) 12.3 (9.9-15.3%) 3.8 (1.4-9.8%) 12.5 (9.2-16.8%) 3.8 (1.6-9.0%)

Method 2
    Median PFS (95% CI)* 3.3 (2.7-3.6) 1.8 (0.8-3.3) 2.2 (1.6-2.8) 0.7 (0.6-0.8)
    6-month estimate (%) 28.1 (24.7-31.8%) 13.6 (8.6-21.7%) 23.6 (19.1-29.1%) 6.7 (3.4-13.1%)
    1-year estimate (%) 8.9 (6.8-11.7%) 1.0 (0.1-6.9%) 8.6 (5.8-12.6%) 3.4 (1.3-8.8%)

Method 3
    Median PFS (95% CI)* 1.8 (1.6-2.0) 0.03 (0.03-1.4) 1.5 (1.2-1.7) 0.03 (n/a)
    6-month estimate (%) 17.1 (14.4-20.3%) 4.7 (2.0-11.0%) 17.2 (13.4-22.0%) 5.3 (2.6-11.0%)
    1-year estimate (%) 7.9 (5.9-10.6%) 1.3 (0.2-8.1%) 6.4 (4.1-9.9%) 3.1 (1.2-8.0%)

Method 4
    Lower, Upper * 3.45, 3.52 1.45, 1.45 2.79, 2.86 0.03, 0.03
*

Estimates are in months.