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. 2012 Sep;102(9):e52–e58. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300527

TABLE 1—

Stakeholder-Identified Health Impact Pathways: Health Impact Assessment of a Cap-and-Trade Framework, California, December 2010

Policy Change Intermediate Policy Impact Health Determinants Intermediate Outcomes Health Outcomes
A cap-and-trade program Create a market for and price on greenhouse gas emissions Emissions and pollution Changes in air pollutants (air resources board assesses as part of the regulatory process) Air-related health impacts
Employment impacts Employment shifts by sector Changes in workplace morbidity
Jobs created or lost Health care access
Change in income Stress and well-being
Income or expenditure shifts
Energy costs Change in air conditioning or other energy use Heat-related mortality
Encourage energy efficiency Air quality–related health outcomes
Household spending shifts Stress and well-being
Income and expenditure shifts
Emission offset projects Offset project environmental impacts Highly variable, depending on offset protocols approved Wide range of health impacts, depending on the specific offset project and its location
Generation of program revenue Distribution of allowance revenue Broad, depending on revenue distribution and use Wide range of health impacts, depending on revenue use and distribution